Net result? Rick one win and 33 delegates. Romney three wins and 32 delegates. Romney has a commanding lead of 263 delgates at this point over Santorum.
The same type of thing could happen on Tuesday as Romney will probably take Hawaii and Samoa while splitting votes amongst the three 9Santorum, Gingrich and himself) in Mississippi. He simply has a strong organization and enough money to be campaigning and fighting on the ground in all places at once.
And for those who say Romney is only a 30% or 35% candidate, he now has seven wins that were absolute majorities of his 17 wins, and four more that he had enough votes to beat Newt and Santorum combined.
But in six other contests, Newt and Santorum combined would ahve beat him which means (with Ricks 8 and Newts 2) 16 contests to date would have been won by a united strong conservative versus 11 by Romney and the delegate count would be essentially even.
The only real chance fo stopping Romney is for Sanroum and Newt to unit and one get behind the other. There will be more pressure on Newt to do this if he loses on Tuesday, leaving his southern strategy a shambles.
We'll see. I have detailed results and commentary on my GOP Primary Tracker Site
Here's the latest results:
2012 GOP Primaries | Date | Mitt Romney | Newt Gingrich | Rick Santorum | Ron Paul | Ron Huntsman | Rick Perry | Michele Bachman | Herman Cain | Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | Del's | ||
Iowa | 1/3/2012 | 29,805 | 24.58% | 7 | - | 16,163 | 13.33% | 2 | - | 29,839 | 24.61% | 7 | 1 | 26,036 | 21.47% | 7 | - | 739 | 0.61% | 0 | 12,557 | 10.36% | 0 | 6,046 | 4.99% | 0 | 58 | 0.05% | 0 | 121,243 | 23 |
New Hamp | 1/10/2012 | 97,601 | 39.81% | 7 | 1 | 23,291 | 9.50% | 0 | - | 23,362 | 9.53% | 0 | - | 56,872 | 23.20% | 3 | - | 41,783 | 17.04% | 2 | 1,764 | 0.72% | 0 | 350 | 0.14% | 0 | 160 | 0.07% | 0 | 245,183 | 12 |
South Caro | 1/21/2012 | 168,152 | 27.86% | 2 | - | 244,133 | 40.44% | 23 | 1 | 102,492 | 16.98% | 0 | - | 78,362 | 12.98% | 0 | - | 1,173 | 0.19% | 0 | 2,534 | 0.42% | 0 | 491 | 0.08% | 0 | 6,326 | 1.05% | 0 | 603,663 | 25 |
Florida | 1/31/2012 | 776,059 | 46.44% | 50 | 2 | 534,040 | 31.96% | 0 | - | 223,208 | 13.36% | 0 | - | 117,410 | 7.03% | 0 | - | 6,199 | 0.37% | 0 | 6,773 | 0.41% | 0 | 3,967 | 0.24% | 0 | 3,492 | 0.21% | 0 | 1,671,148 | 50 |
Nevada | 2/4/2012 | 16,486 | 50.12% | 14 | 3 | 6,956 | 21.15% | 6 | - | 3,277 | 9.96% | 3 | - | 6,175 | 18.77% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 32,894 | 28 |
Main | 2,190 | 39.65% | 9 | 4 | 349 | 6.32% | 0 | - | 989 | 17.90% | 3 | - | 1,996 | 36.13% | 7 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 5,524 | 19 | |
Colorado | 2/7/2012 | 22,875 | 35.00% | 13 | - | 8,394 | 12.84% | 1 | - | 26,372 | 40.35% | 17 | 2 | 7,713 | 11.80% | 1 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 65,354 | 32 |
Minnesota | 8,096 | 16.97% | 2 | - | 5,134 | 10.76% | 1 | - | 21,436 | 44.94% | 25 | 3 | 13,030 | 27.32% | 9 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 47,696 | 14 | |
Missouri | 63,826 | 26.24% | 0 | - | 9,859 | 4.05% | 0 | - | 138,957 | 57.12% | 0 | 4 | 30,641 | 12.59% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 243,283 | 0 | |
Arizona | 2/28/2012 | 216,805 | 47.99% | 29 | 5 | 74,110 | 16.40% | 0 | - | 122,088 | 27.03% | 0 | - | 38,753 | 8.58% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 451,756 | 29 |
Michigan | 409,899 | 42.34% | 16 | 6 | 65,016 | 6.72% | 0 | - | 377,521 | 38.99% | 14 | - | 115,712 | 11.95% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 968,148 | 30 | |
Washington | 3/3/2012 | 19,111 | 37.65% | 30 | 7 | 5,221 | 10.28% | 0 | - | 12,089 | 23.81% | 5 | - | 12,594 | 24.81% | 5 | - | 924 | 1.82% | 0 | 437 | 0.86% | 0 | 198 | 0.39% | 0 | 190 | 0.37% | 0 | 50,764 | 40 |
Wyoming | 822 | 38.99% | 10 | 8 | 165 | 7.83% | 1 | - | 673 | 31.93% | 9 | - | 439 | 20.83% | 6 | - | 3 | 0.14% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2,108 | 26 | |
Alaska | 3/6/2012 | 4,285 | 32.52% | 8 | 9 | 1,856 | 14.09% | 3 | - | 3,860 | 29.30% | 7 | - | 3,175 | 24.10% | 6 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,176 | 24 |
Georgia | S | 225,926 | 25.18% | 15 | - | 417,364 | 47.81% | 47 | 2 | 172,473 | 19.76% | 10 | - | 57,125 | 6.54% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 872,888 | 76 |
Idaho | u | 27,514 | 61.61% | 32 | 10 | 940 | 2.11% | 0 | - | 8,115 | 18.17% | 0 | - | 8,086 | 18.11% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 44,655 | 32 |
Massachusetts | p | 260,509 | 73.29% | 41 | 11 | 16,756 | 4.71% | 0 | - | 43,6114 | 12.27% | 0 | - | 34,575 | 9.735 | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 355,455 | 41 |
N. Dakota | e | 2,691 | 23.71% | 7 | - | 961 | 8.48% | 2 | - | 4,510 | 39.74% | 11 | 5 | 3,186 | 28.07% | 8 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 11,349 | 28 |
Ohio | r | 453,927 | 38.93% | 32 | 12 | 174,606 | 14.78% | 10 | - | 441,908 | 37.42% | 20 | - | 110,633 | 9.37% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 1,181,074 | 66 |
Oklahoma | 80,291 | 28.34% | 13 | - | 78,686 | 27.77% | 13 | - | 96,759 | 34.15% | 14 | 6 | 27,572 | 9.73% | 13 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 283,208 | 43 | |
Tennessee | T | 153,889 | 28.46% | 18 | - | 132,142 | 24.43% | 12 | - | 204,978 | 37.90% | 26 | 7 | 49,782 | 9.21% | 2 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 540,791 | 58 |
Vermont | u | 22,533 | 41.01% | 9 | 13 | 4,606 | 8.39% | 0 | - | 13,401 | 24.39% | 4 | - | 14,407 | 26.22% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 54,949 | 17 |
Virginia | e | 158,050 | 59.52% | 44 | 14 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 107,470 | 40.48% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 265,520 | 49 |
Guam | 3/10/2012 | 215 | 100% | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 215 | 9 |
Marianna Is | 738 | 87.03% | 9 | 16 | 29 | 3.42% | 0 | - | 27 | 3.18% | 0 | - | 54 | 6.37% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 848 | 9 | |
Virgin Is | 132 | 46.32% | 7 | 17 | 18 | 6.32% | 0 | - | 23 | 8.07% | 0 | - | 112 | 39.30% | 1 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 848 | 8 | |
Kansas | 6,250 | 21.11% | 7 | - | 4,298 | 14.52% | 0 | - | 15,290 | 51.65% | 33 | 8 | 3,767 | 12.72% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 29,605 | 40 | |
Alabama | 3/13/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 50 |
Am Somoa | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
Hawaii | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 20 | |
Mississippi | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 40 | |
Missouri | 3/17/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 52 |
Puerto Rico | 3/18/2024 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 23 |
Illinois | 3/20/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 69 |
Louisiana | 3/24/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 46 |
DC | 4/3/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 19 |
Maryland | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 37 | |
Wisconsin | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 42 | |
Conn | 4/24/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Deleware | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
New York | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 95 | |
Pennsylvania | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 72 | |
Rhode Il | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 28 | |
At large Del's | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTALS | 3,228,677 | 39.55% | 472 | 17 | 1,825,093 | 22.36% | 125 | 2 | 2,087,261 | 25.57% | 208 | 8 | 925,677 | 11.34% | 89 | 0 | 50,821 | 0.62% | 2 | 24,067 | 0.29% | 0 | 11,054 | 0.13% | 0 | 10,228 | 0.13% | 0 | 8,162,878 | 896 | |
To Date % of | Delegates | Romney | 53% | Gingrich | 14% | Santorum | 23% | Paul | 10% | Huntsman | 0.22% | Perry | 0% | Bachman | 0% | Cain | 0% |
Like I said, Rick and Newt have to combine if there is going to be any chance of stopping a out and out Romney nomination.
Delegate counts appearing in the media are usually just percentage projections and do not reflect the details of rules by which delegates are actually chosen. For, example, Iowa has chosen no delegates yet, and when it does in June it will reflect the status of the contest at that time.