I don’t get why you’re freaking.
Even if your calculations are correct, Gingrich plus Santorum will stil likely win a clear majority of the delegates. So on a second ballot, the candidate with less delegates recommends that his delegates support the other, and thus either Gingrich or Santorum prevail over Romney.
But that assumes that we need a second ballot. What your analysis ignores is that many of the delegates awarded so far - particularly to Santorum - are “soft,” not hard. Thus, if the delegate-momentum and popular vote-momentum swings Newt’s way, many of those delegates will vote for Newt on a first ballot, in order to defeat Romney.
“Gingrich plus Santorum will stil likely win a clear majority of the delegates. So on a second ballot, the candidate with less delegates recommends that his delegates support the other, and thus either Gingrich or Santorum prevail over Romney.”
I can see Santorum throwing in with Romney, not Newt. Santorum’s been angling for a VP slot all along. Santorum endorsed Romney in 2008. Santorum stabbed Newt in the back back when Newt was Speaker. All you Santourm supporters who hate Romney are being fooled.
Go Newt!