the best route for him will be to reduce the US Nuclear Arsenal by another 95%. That will ensure that the Iranian government will like us again, and never attack us.
And then, on January 21, 0bama will retire to Kenya, where no Iranian missile will ever be targeted...
[Note: 0bama views the US nuclear arsenal as a mathematical calculus equation... you can always halve your distance to any object, even if that object is the US having 0 nukes]
Providing assessments of when a country could and is likely to test an ICBM takes into account uncertainties and cases where a solid evidentiary base is not available for making more definitive assessments. The availability of foreign assistance is frequently a critical driver in both formulations, and is so noted, especially when foreign assistance accelerates the program dramatically.It is extremely subjective.
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As was proven long ago, halving distance between any two points (A to B) results in never reaching point B. The US having 0 nukes is appropriate for the area formerly known as the US with a President named Zero.