America’s Anchorman quoted the Pollsters for a Mitt win by 15% or 20% in his monologue. So that means Gingrich can claim a moral victory if it’s closer than that.
I feel pretty sure the pros are predicting something along the Mitt 51% - Gingrich 25% - Santorum 14% - Paul 10%, at which time Mitt’s supporters will be saying SEE! Everybody else might as well drop out now!
I think that’s their dream, anyway.
JMHO
“So that means Gingrich can claim a moral victory if its closer than that.”
In a winner-take-all primary (as I believe Florida is - if I’m wrong, please let me know), there is no moral victory.
If this were a primary in which delegates were assigned based on the candidate’s vote totals, then yes, this would be a moral (and somewhate strategic) victory for Gingrich.
The RCP average is Romney +13, so that's the "pros" consensus.
The final result is very likely to be within 5 points of the above either way.