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To: Pollster1

America’s Anchorman quoted the Pollsters for a Mitt win by 15% or 20% in his monologue. So that means Gingrich can claim a moral victory if it’s closer than that.

I feel pretty sure the pros are predicting something along the Mitt 51% - Gingrich 25% - Santorum 14% - Paul 10%, at which time Mitt’s supporters will be saying SEE! Everybody else might as well drop out now!

I think that’s their dream, anyway.

JMHO


42 posted on 01/31/2012 10:05:36 AM PST by ngat
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To: ngat

“So that means Gingrich can claim a moral victory if it’s closer than that.”

In a winner-take-all primary (as I believe Florida is - if I’m wrong, please let me know), there is no moral victory.

If this were a primary in which delegates were assigned based on the candidate’s vote totals, then yes, this would be a moral (and somewhate strategic) victory for Gingrich.


47 posted on 01/31/2012 10:16:17 AM PST by MplsSteve (Amy Klobuchar is no moderate. She's Al Franken with a nicer smile.)
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To: ngat
I feel pretty sure the pros are predicting something along the Mitt 51% - Gingrich 25% - Santorum 14% - Paul 10%, at which time Mitt’s supporters will be saying SEE! Everybody else might as well drop out now!

The RCP average is Romney +13, so that's the "pros" consensus.

The final result is very likely to be within 5 points of the above either way.

48 posted on 01/31/2012 10:17:17 AM PST by Strategerist
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