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To: Artcore

Doubt the polls at your own peril. The fact is, they are rarely wrong (if ever). They’ve been pretty accurate so far this year and there is no reason to believe they are faulty in Florida.


77 posted on 01/29/2012 8:49:14 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

Oh, you mean like the SC polls?


94 posted on 01/29/2012 8:57:24 AM PST by Artcore
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To: TBBT

Actually, Newt outperformed the polls by 7 points in South Carolina.


135 posted on 01/29/2012 9:26:28 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: TBBT; TexasFreeper2009; Gator113
Newt did beat the Real Clear Politics average by 7 points in South Carolina as he rode the big Mo.

I am afraid this time the GOP onslaught, FOX and conservative talkies and Drudge have done their damage....and his debate performance was soft.

All the polls show Newt down sharply and beyond any recovery at this point baring a Truman/Dewey scenario.

Unless Santorum dropped out very publicly tonight or tomorrow and endorsed Newt passionately.

and the pressure on Santorum not to do that from the very folks who have so wounded Newt must be enormous.

hence...where to go from here?

IF Newt stays strong nationally, continues to get funding and Santorum shows so weakly in FL that he does finally withdraw then Newt is till in it.

Romney will likely at that point refuse to debate much if any and let the media campaign for him and deny Newt a platform.

at that point the only ones who could push Newt over the finish line will be Rush Limbaugh, Sarah on the ground and not so tepidly and Levin and maybe some others.

Hate to be so dismal but running against the leftist Media and a leaning leftist “what culture war?” GOP and FOX etc is a very very tall order.
I have my doubts Magnus could have done it in 1980 had Bush the First had such a political army and funding on his side.

I'm done with them...locally and statewide yes...but I fear the GOP cannot be changed from within. It is a northern US beltway party...California used to be a a power source to balance that but it's gone. Reagan was an anomaly they had to tolerate.

there are no big primaries in the next month to favor Newt...Georgia is over a month and Texas 2 months...good thing for Mittens Texas is not up front

the rest are purple states or blue states till then..places like Florida that will favor Mitt

I'm sorry

152 posted on 01/29/2012 9:43:27 AM PST by wardaddy (I am a social conservative. My political party left me(again). They can go to hell in a bucket.)
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