I think if Paul goes 3rd party, then whoever the republican nominee is, will be toast. The only reason Paul may not go 3rd party is because of his son Rand Paul from KY. Rand probably has a shot at a presidential run someday. If Ron goes 3rd, may hurt his sons chances in the future.
Mark Levin fired a “shot across the bow” warning RuPaul if he runs 3rd party Rand will be TOAST in his next run.
He is not going 3rd Party.