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A Right-Wing France?
Townhall.com ^ | January 20, 2012 | Mike Shedlock

Posted on 01/20/2012 7:00:23 AM PST by Kaslin

Latest polls show French President Sarkozy is losing ground to right-wing anti-euro candidate Marine Le Pen in the first round of the France presidential election. Via Google translate, please consider Le Pen and Bayrou Back

François Hollande is still leading the voting intentions of a presidential first round to 28%, unchanged from January 6, according to a poll Ifop-Fiducial. Nicolas Sarkozy, who is still not officially a candidate, lost two points to 24%. Marine Le Pen gains 1 point to 20% and Francois Bayrou 12.5%.

Another survey (Ipsos-Logica Business) has the results Holland 29%, 23% to Sarkozy, Le Pen is 18% and 14% Bayrou.

The Socialist candidate Francois Hollande is still ahead of the vote in a presidential first round to 28%, unchanged from January 6, ahead of Nicolas Sarkozy to 24% (-2%) and Marine Le Pen 20% (+1%), according to a survey conducted for Ifop-Fiducial.

If the second round was held Sunday, François Hollande would win by 57% (+3) against 43% (-3) for Nicolas Sarkozy, thus widening the gap.

Another survey of opinions Ipsos-Logica Business, carried out for France Televisions, Radio France and Le Monde, gives the same quarter of head. François Hollande arrives again at the top of the vote of a presidential first round to 29% (-3), Nicolas Sarkozy at 23% (-2.5), Marine Le Pen 18% (+1) Francois Bayrou and 14 % (+7).

In the second round, Francois Hollande would win by 59% (-1) against 41% to Nicolas Sarkozy (+1).
Those surveys were conducted January 11 to 13 - when the Standard & Poor's withdrew to France's triple A rating.

French far-right threatens to upset Sarkozy's poll hopes

Reuters has a slightly different set of numbers but with the same general theme in its report French far-right threatens to upset Sarkozy's poll hopes.

French leader Nicolas Sarkozy faces a battle to avoid a shock first round exit in April presidential elections, a poll showed on Thursday, after far-right candidate Marine Le Pen closed to within two points of the incumbent.

A daily rolling poll of voting intentions conducted by Ifop for Paris Match showed Marine Le Pen on 21 percent, up one point and within striking distance of the conservative head of state.

The poll was the latest to confirm that Sarkozy is under pressure from Le Pen ahead of the April 22 first round, and raises the possibility of a repeat of the 2002 upset, when her father Jean-Marie Le Pen knocked out the mainstream Socialist candidate Lionel Jospin.

That result traumatised France, with hundreds of thousands taking to the streets in protest marches against the rise of the far-right. And it ensured mainstream conservative Jacques Chirac won a crushing majority in the run-off ballot of more than 80 percent.

Marine Le Pen, who replaced her father at the head of the National Front last year, has sought to broaden the appeal of the party beyond its traditional anti-immigrant constituency to attract a younger generation of voters.

Her anti-euro and protectionist stance has struck a chord with voters disillusioned by economic hardship since the global economic crisis triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, and the dragging euro zone debt crisis.

A recent poll showed some 30 percent of French people agreed with Le Pen's ideas.
Crossover Vote Opportunity to Dump Sarkozy

Reuters did not give the date of the poll showing Sarkozy's lead over Le Pen shrunk to a mere two points. It did say "Thursday" which I interpret to mean today. 

Interestingly, anyone who wants Hollande to win can crossover and vote for Le Pen in the first round, just to get Sarkozy off the ballot. Hollande would likely trounce Le Pen.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 01/20/2012 7:00:28 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

The irony here is Sarkozy was called RIGHT WING by the press when he was running.

Apparently in France, someone whose politics is akin to America’s Democrats is right wing.


2 posted on 01/20/2012 7:06:01 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: Kaslin

Immigration is becoming THE issue in France and most of Europe. The preservation of culture and values is central to the political battles being waged. Unlike the US, diversity and multiculturalism are not seen as strengths. Europe understands that their survival is at stake, we don’t.


3 posted on 01/20/2012 7:15:15 AM PST by kabar
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To: Kaslin

Anyone know when their election is? I’m heading to Barritz in mid June.....


4 posted on 01/20/2012 7:15:25 AM PST by enraged
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To: Kaslin

That would be a good thing if this happened, and who knows maybe this time France really would go “right-wing” if not, at least they lose a pro Euro-Socialist pseudo-conservative!~ J.S.


5 posted on 01/20/2012 7:26:09 AM PST by JSDude1 (https://www.newt.org/donate)
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To: Kaslin
Sarkozy was more certainly more Right then Jacque Chirac. Sarkozy had to deal with riots early on on the outside of Paris that held signs of Obama [the takers of society], Sarkozy wanted a longer work week, Sarkozy publicly declared the burqa "not welcome", And..this is what has upset opponents : Sarkozy wanted to develop a "positive laïcité" that recognizes the contribution of faith to French culture, history and society, allows for faith in the public discourse and for government subsidies for faith-based groups.

The other side has claimed he took cash campaign donations, politics as usual, just in another country.

If anyone opened the door leaning Right, after all France is not the United States and why would we think everyone wants to be like us, Sarkozy has been Rightly leaning in comparison to the old France leadership, a forward thinking leader and should remain as so. Sarkozy understood socialism fails-Greece being a prime example; whereas Obama ..well what can I say about Obama that you don't already know. Easy to work off the accomplishments and successes of another.

6 posted on 01/20/2012 7:26:15 AM PST by fight_truth_decay
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To: Kaslin

Time for Sarkozy to go.


7 posted on 01/20/2012 7:28:41 AM PST by wolfman23601
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To: enraged
The first round April 22, 2012 and the second will be held May 6, 2012. Legislative deadline, on 10 and 17 June 2012, several weeks after the presidential election.

[Source]

I hope to be over there end of May or early June myself.

8 posted on 01/20/2012 7:32:34 AM PST by fight_truth_decay
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To: enraged

According to Wikipedia the presidential election in France is held 22 April and 6 May 2012, the latter being used for a run-off if necessary.


9 posted on 01/20/2012 7:34:15 AM PST by Kaslin (Acronym for OBAMA: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: Kaslin

Maybe I read this wrong, but it sounds like the socialist is going to win.

How does this make France right-wing?


10 posted on 01/20/2012 7:44:25 AM PST by kidd
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To: Kaslin

LePen is not “right-wing.” He is a nationalist. I find it very interesting that most of his supporters would select the socialist candidate as their second choice, but hardly surprising as there have been other Nationalist-Socialist leaders to rule in France, particularly the early 1940s.


11 posted on 01/20/2012 8:20:45 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus
Marine Le Pen is a she. She is the daughter of Jean-Marie Le Pen.


12 posted on 01/20/2012 9:09:29 AM PST by Petrosius
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To: Petrosius

Actually, I was speaking of Jean-Marie, forgetting momentarily that Marine has taken up the mantle.


13 posted on 01/20/2012 9:16:18 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

Marine LaPen is Jean Marie LaPen’s daughter, no?


14 posted on 01/20/2012 9:24:33 AM PST by FlipWilson
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To: SeekAndFind

Actually that is very true. Most modern Democrats would not find a home in European liberal parties. If you really want to get an idea of what it means to be liberal in Europe, imagine thousands of Obama’s trying to out liberal each other.


15 posted on 01/20/2012 9:26:28 AM PST by taxcontrol
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To: FlipWilson

Yes, LePen’s “Rand.” ;^) (That’s a terribly unfair joke; I’m just not sure who it’s unfair to.)


16 posted on 01/20/2012 9:34:48 AM PST by dangus
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To: JSDude1

You say, France is going right? That’s wishful thinking when all the surveys show a landslide victory for the Socialist candidate Hollande.

The only move to the right is the small gain fro Mrs Le Pen compared to Sarcozy, who’s doomed anyway.

Well, I’d like you to be right, but alas...


17 posted on 01/20/2012 4:26:01 PM PST by Neophyte (Nazis, Communists, Islamists... what the heck is the difference?)
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To: dangus

Darling, Le Pen is not he, she is she. Madame Le Pen, The daughter of the late Mr Le Pen. Who was ‘he’.


18 posted on 01/20/2012 4:29:03 PM PST by Neophyte (Nazis, Communists, Islamists... what the heck is the difference?)
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To: FlipWilson
Oui, Marine Le Pen est la fille de Jean Marie Le Pen.
But better 1 fascist, who will be voted out of power, than France and Europe inundated with Muslims at the whims of the Eurabian elite.
19 posted on 01/20/2012 9:53:53 PM PST by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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