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To: Wuli

>> I simply question that most of Iran’s leaders want to do anything that would inspire Turkey to reverse that course <<

Good analysis! If correct, it suggests to me that the information/disinformation came from a source that wants to reverse Turkey’s headlong rush into Sharia — either the Mossad or secular elements in the Turkish military.


19 posted on 01/17/2012 4:16:59 PM PST by Hawthorn
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To: Hawthorn

“Good analysis! If correct, it suggests to me that the information/disinformation came from a source that wants to reverse Turkey’s headlong rush into Sharia”

I disagree with you, only in this one way.

If it were true, as your position suggests, that the information may be disinformation, and may have been sourced from within Turkey’s military, my sense is that the MOTIVE would not be related to Turkey’s domestic policies (Sharia related) as much as it would be to it’s foreign policy and particularly it’s recently more friendly relations with Iran.

With their long history inside NATO, I imagine Turkey’s military contains many who do not want a Turkey-Iran alliance, for any reason. I suspect they - the military - prefers better relations with the Saudis than with Iran, regardless of how much in fact the radical Wahabi fundamentalism in Saudi Arabia differs only in its Sunni origins as opposed to the Shia origins of Iran’s radicals.

Again, if its not disinformation, I expect growing evidence of friction between the ruling factions in Iran, will begin to appear, steming from Turkey’s actions against Iranian operatives in Turkey. I would expect a majority within Iran’s factions will want to repair any rift with Turkey that may develop from this.

That said, as long as Iran would act quickly to make such repairs, I would expect to see Turkey resume the course of warming relations with Iran, once the tensions of the day had time to die down.

For us, we may only have a brief time to exploit - to our advantage - any factional rifts in Iran or any great Turkey-Iran rift.


20 posted on 01/17/2012 5:13:18 PM PST by Wuli (ffic)
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