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Behind Perry's Decision to Keep Running
National Journal ^ | 1-5-2012 | Rebecca Kaplan

Posted on 01/05/2012 2:36:38 PM PST by smoothsailing

January 5, 2012

Behind Perry's Decision to Keep Running

South Carolina team urged Texas governor to make a last stand.

Rebecca Kaplan

AUSTIN, Texas – It is rare for a politician to announce that he is reassessing his candidacy -- and then continue his campaign. But that’s just what Rick Perry decided after discussions with his family, two top aides, and a South Carolina team that saw a path forward for Perry to win the Republican nomination for president. Even some of Perry’s senior advisers were shocked when Perry tweeted a mere 12 hours after his fifth-place Iowa finish that he would be heading on to South Carolina; the newly energized candidate underscored the point with a picture of himself in full running gear.

Communications Director Ray Sullivan told reporters after Perry’s subdued caucus-night speech that he expected the campaign to reevaluate both the Iowa results in detail and to examine his prospects in South Carolina, the early-primary state that best matched Perry’s background and political beliefs. His advisers worked through the night to prepare that assessment.

In an interview, Katon Dawson, Perry’s top adviser in South Carolina, offered a sense of what was discussed that night: “I think it’s a competition for the heart and soul of the conservative movement,” he said, “Governor Perry’s a competitor. He never lost a race.” Dawson also pointed to Perry’s prominent Christian faith and his military background, which will appeal to the many veterans in the state’s Low Country. And the strong tea party contingent should be receptive to Perry’s anti-Washington message.

While he stands to gain votes from people who had supported Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota, who dropped out of the race on Wednesday, advisers say that her decision did not affect Perry's. Bachmann spokeswoman Alice Stewart said Wednesday morning that the lawmaker called her rivals to congratulate them after the caucus results came in, but did not indicate that she would be dropping out.

“The governor's decision was based on discussions with his family and advisers including our South Carolina team, a realistic assessment of our financial position, an analysis of the strengths and weaknesses of the GOP field, and a recognition that the race has been very fluid and unpredictable,” Sullivan said. “Perry believes his record and plans make him uniquely able to press an outsider-based conservative reform message for Washington and the tax code; uniquely able to promote American job creation and fiscal responsibility;and uniquely able to defend fiscal, social, and tea party conservatism in South Carolina.”

It helps that the Palmetto State is a relatively low-cost place to run a campaign. Media is cheaper, and the smaller markets make it easy to blanket the state. Its relatively small size also keeps travel costs down and puts a premium on retail campaigning, Perry’s strongest skill set. That will all be crucial as the money runs out. A campaign aide said that reports that Perry still has $3.5 million in the bank are likely overstated. Beyond the encouragement Perry received from his South Carolina team, he also relied on the advice of Sullivan and campaign manager Joe Allbaugh. There also something to be said for the mental clarity that a jog on a brisk, sunny morning in Iowa can bring. “I was out on the trail when it kind of came to me,” Perry told reporters the morning after the caucuses. He then flew home to Austin for a couple days of rest.

Now it’s game on, again. Perry will be in New Hampshire this weekend for two debates, but he is flying to South Carolina on Sunday afternoon and likely will be there until the Jan. 21 primary. “He’ll be here, and stay here almost wall-to-wall, shortly,” Dawson said. “There’s not a whole lot of quitting to us.”


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: heartless; oooopsss; ooops; oops; perry; perry2020; rickperry; texas; tx
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1 posted on 01/05/2012 2:36:45 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: shield

*


2 posted on 01/05/2012 2:37:42 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Did Sarah & Rick have a little talk? ...hope so.


3 posted on 01/05/2012 2:40:48 PM PST by TexasCajun
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To: smoothsailing

Anything is possible...because ALOT of us in SC will NOT get behind Mittens!!!!


4 posted on 01/05/2012 2:41:36 PM PST by jakerobins
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To: smoothsailing; Liz; South40; napscoordinator; CainConservative

Shock. He didn’t want to force women to use Gardasil, but Merck told him to, so he did. He didn’t want to run for president, but Anita told him to, so he did. He didn’t want to continue on, but Katon Dawson told him to, so he did.

This man has no spine!


5 posted on 01/05/2012 2:46:39 PM PST by PAConservative1
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To: smoothsailing
Its relatively small size also keeps travel costs down and puts a premium on retail campaigning, Perry’s strongest skill set.

Um, isn't that true about Iowa? The results of his "strongest skill set" there was not too impressive.

6 posted on 01/05/2012 2:47:43 PM PST by Prokopton
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To: smoothsailing

Does anyone have current polling on SC? Last I saw was RCP from late last month and it was Gingrich, Mittens, Paul, Bachmann, PERRY, and Santorum. Bachmann is out and Santorum is in a surge. That still leaves Perry near the back. Is there signs of life for him there or is this a Hail Mary?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-1590.html


7 posted on 01/05/2012 2:50:06 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: smoothsailing
Is strategic terms it makes sense. Perry has no chance in NH so he sits that out. At the same time Santorum faces the heat he has avoided until now. Also Newt has pledged to go nuclear on Romney, and while that may hurt Romney it equally likely will finish off Newt. So if Santorum and Newt implode Perry can pick up the pieces as the last Not-Romney standing. If they don't, well he has already spent the money to establish himself in SC so he is no worse off by staying in a couple more weeks.
8 posted on 01/05/2012 2:50:06 PM PST by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: TexasCajun
Did Sarah & Rick have a little talk? ...hope so.

They're natural allies and friends, it wouldn't surprise me.

9 posted on 01/05/2012 2:55:53 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: Lazlo in PA

That poll means nothing now.


10 posted on 01/05/2012 2:59:36 PM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Newt, Willard, Perry and nervous supporters.)
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To: PAConservative1
This man has no spine!

Of course he does, but you have no heart, remember? OOPS!

11 posted on 01/05/2012 3:00:27 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

GO PERRY GO!


12 posted on 01/05/2012 3:04:15 PM PST by BunnySlippers (I LOVE BULL MARKETS . . .)
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To: Prokopton

Yeah, well, he’d have done better if he had pandered to the Big Government Corn Lobby like Newty, Mittzy, and Little Ricky S., but I’m glad he didn’t.

http://iowansfueledwithpride.com/ethanol-industry-sees-a-victory-in-caucus-results


13 posted on 01/05/2012 3:08:30 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: org.whodat

That is why I asked what the current polling in the state shows, if there is any.


14 posted on 01/05/2012 3:09:16 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: smoothsailing; PAConservative1
I think you meant "no brains", right?

I'm sorry PAC, that's all getting so old.

15 posted on 01/05/2012 3:09:53 PM PST by McGavin999 ("If you'll have my back when I go to Washington, I'll have yours" Rick Perry 2012)
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To: jakerobins

And Perry is a real option. He’s got the Executive experience, solid 2nd & 10th Amendment guy, and will stand up to these yahoos in the media. I hope people don’t let polls and media pressure them into settling. The libs and media are pulling a Palin on Perry, spreading the word he’s stupid and incompetent. Well, he’s neither.

I do like Santorum as well though his backing Specter was a real turn-off. I live in PA and I felt like he went with the establishment once the going got rough. But I’ll gladly overlook that if he’s the nominee and I’ll fight like hell to elect him. Same for Newt. But please don’t count Perry out yet, he’s the real deal.


16 posted on 01/05/2012 3:16:17 PM PST by Kenny
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Comment #17 Removed by Moderator

To: Lazlo in PA

South Carolina should be natural turf for Perry. I figure it’s make or break for him there, so your “Hail Mary” analogy is most likely correct.

Here’s a pretty fair article about it...

http://www.elpasotimes.com/ci_19677900

BTW, I think your RCP link does represent the most recent polling. I imagine a new one will be out by the weekend.


18 posted on 01/05/2012 3:21:26 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: McGavin999

LOL. No doubt about it, he’s one of the juvenile keyword spam monkeys,they are a pretty mindless bunch. :)


19 posted on 01/05/2012 3:25:36 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

I like a lot of things about Perry. And to be honest, I think he was just starting to get people’s attention in Iowa again..timing is everything and it didn’t work out. But people were giving him a second look and a second chance. Why?

I believe it’s because he has a strong message on the economy and smaller government. When the right candidate starts pounding on these 2 issues and not get distracted by the media and pulled into senseless squabbles with other candidates..he will take off.

People have enough on their minds without the needless/childish fighting. People are worried about the country’s well-being and that’s the message they want to hear.

Planks for our platform were coming left and right out of Perry supporters..things like term limits, Congress having to live under the same laws we do, Congress having to use the same healthcare as we do..and they passed hands down.

Perry has a message that can stick with people. He needs to focus on it..get it down tighter and he will do better than people think.


20 posted on 01/05/2012 3:26:22 PM PST by stillafreemind
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