Does anybody know if the later report caucus sites tend to be more or less conservative...?
One thing I noticed on the map, Jefferson and Story Counties (Fairfield and Ames) have not reported yet. They will likely have strong Paul votes. (Jefferson was the only county Paul won in 08, and Story is home of Iowa State University, where I expect Paul would win.
However, 3 NW counties which are huge social conservative counties have not reported. I would think they would be heavy Santorum and Perry support.
Polk County has nearly double the number of voters as the next largest counties. Only six counties in Iowa have big vote totals (they can pretty much swamp the rest of the state), and only two of those have nearly complete results:
Black Hawk: Paul 24% Romney 23 Santorum 21
Johnson
Linn: Romney 27% Santorum 26 Paul 24
Polk
Scott
Woodbury