IMO, the sad truth of the matter is that the guy will win in a walk. Consider the numbers:
* 96% of the black vote
* 70% of the Hispanic vote
* 99% of the lib kook vote
* 60% to 70% of the youth vote
* 60% of the female vote (largely because his is a black man)
Kind of tough to overcome that. In fact, the only way to do it would be with a massive voter turnout drive by the RNC. And the RNC just doesn’t like to get down and dirty with the common folks.
In short, I’m afraid we ahve reached End Game.
I think your numbers are way off. He’ll possible get 55 hispanic, 50 women. Youth not sure about, but 70 is certainly too high. He is going to lose million of voters this time around. Many who voted for him the first time, like young people, will not vote again.