Is it a poll of adults or “likely” voters?
There is, of course, a difference. If someone loves Obama and thinks he walks on water, he or she doesn’t matter if they have no intention of showing up at the polls. The same goes for anyone who likes the eventual GOP nominee but has no intention of voting.
In previous polls, I’ve noticed the percentage of democratics polled is greater than the percentage of republicans.
Also, 11 months is an eternity in politics. Alot can and will happen in 2012. Expect the unemployment rate to go up after all the Christmas season hires lose their jobs.