[upchuck]

Good analysis, though I'll be surprised if Paul wins Iowa. Your number three is a little off. Unfortunately, South Carolina is an Open Primary state. Source.

[BCrago66]

Well, that kinda sucks. I assumed that SC would be more rational than that. Well, there’s a smaller percentage of Democrats in SC in the first place, so there a smaller pool of people who can switch registrations & vote for Paul. So there’s that consolation.