Paul is the first choice of 27.5 percent of 333 likely caucus-goers among the 740 registered Republicans and 200 registered independents contacted by ISU.
Representative?
His colleague, Dave Peterson, interim director of the Harkin Institute of Public Policy at Iowa State and associate professor of political science who assisted with the poll, says that suggests Paul “probably under-polls.”
“His supporters are younger and more likely to reply on a cell phone, so he's probably going to perform better than his polling suggests,” Peterson says. “His supporters also are dedicated and will likely turn out on caucus night and not change their minds.”
Paul is going to "under-poll" based on that? Wouldn't you expect just the opposite - that this is an indication that Paul is over-polling?
I'm still doubtful that the state of Iowa has gone that Bat Guano crazy and Paul will perform as well as these polls suggest.
Anybody here good at poll analysis?
So goes Iowa,so doesn’t go the nation!
Ron Paul will never get my vote. The guy is losing his mental faculties by the day.
Ron Paul insists that America and the American people are to be blamed for the attack on the twin towers. He thinks those folks that were killed on those plans on 911, those that were burned alive, and those that jumped from more than 100 floors above the ground were all guilty and deserved to die those horrible deaths becasue they and their country had offended the Taliban and the Muslems in some way.
He says they, the Muslems, were justified in their actions and that we had NO RIGHT to respond because no war was declared. Does he NOT understand that innocent, unarmed Americans were attacked and murdered on American soil. If that isn’t an act of war that deserves a response what is?
This man is a coward
Well, I guess we can be sure that IA people will again make the wrong choice. They have a lot of experience doing that.
I guess the OWS freaks are now in Iowa
To all anti Paul people: Your’e arguments will be recieved better if you can drop the name calling. It’s long past the hour will that will work. Too much at stake. Try harder to add something concrete to the conversation. Just saying “nut job” or “crazy” is more fitting for a DU type conversation.
How many polled for Paul are actually Democrats who want Paul to face Obama and give the Democrats a sweep next November?? It is an open primary - which I hate.
“His supporters are younger and more likely to reply on a cell phone”
Perhaps “reply” is supposed to be “rely”? As in, don’t have a land line and therefore would not be represented in the polling? That would explain the suggestion that they are under-polling.
To all of the anti Paul folks: It must be obvious to you by now that there is a significant number of people who will not vote for more of the same, that’s not going away. If you feel so strongly about Ron Paul you will need to articulate your position in a more constructive manner in order to have an impact in the discussion.
A quick glance at the news would convince most that the status quo has failed. There is no more time. We don’t have 4 years to waste on another status quo candidate.
Obamabot infiltration to buoy Paul’s campaign and increase chance of 3rd party run. Conservatives should not be sucked into this diversion.
It appears Iowa is loaded with incompetent morons!!!
All I can say is, if Paul actually IS the next person to get the swarm, I certainly hope I don’t have to read a dozen articles a day here about how we simply MUST support Paul to stop Romney.
It’s been bad enough with Cain (conservative but amateur) and Gingrich (Was conservative once a long time ago, not just too smart for his own good).