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Do the Math -- Gingrich Is Now the GOP Front Runner
Fox News ^ | 11/30/2011 | Douglas E. Schoen

Posted on 11/30/2011 10:47:27 AM PST by TBBT

There is a new front runner in the Republican nomination for president, one who has frankly not been recognized as a front runner, given the nature of the media and the reporting on the contrast. That front runner is Newt Gingrich, who in the new Iowa Insider Advantage poll has a 15% lead over Mitt Romney. That lead, which is well beyond the margin of error, suggests that he is now in a commanding position in Iowa, which could well lead to a victory of the size and scope that Mike Huckabee won four years ago.

But beyond that, Gingrich is 28 points ahead in South Carolina, the third primary, which would be a landslide victory for the former Georgia Congressman should the numbers hold up.

With New Hampshire now within 10 points, and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney running ahead of Gingrich only here, there is every reason to believe that the combination of the Manchester Union Leader's endorsement, and the former Speaker's now likely victory in Iowa will tighten the race even more in the Granite state.

Further, given the newly released Florida numbers, which show Gingrich with a commanding 24 point lead over Mitt Romney, there is every reason to believe that the race has swung decisively in the direction of the former Speaker. The former Speaker is benefitting not only from superlative debate performances, but also from the decline and perhaps fall of Herman Cain. Polls show that the former Cain voters are breaking by at least 2 to 1, and in some cases 3 to 1, for former speaker Gingrich.

Put another way, if Gingrich wins Iowa, is very competitive in New Hampshire, and wins South Carolina and Florida in landslides, the race will effectively be over...

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gingrich; newt
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Possible outcome... Premature to bet on...
1 posted on 11/30/2011 10:47:34 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

According to MSM, the only front runner is Romney and will always be Romney.


2 posted on 11/30/2011 10:49:50 AM PST by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord!)
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To: TBBT

As they say: Here today...Gone tomorrow.

http://thespeechatimeforchoosing.wordpress.com/2011/11/28/newt-gingrich-is-more-dangerous-to-america-than-obama-and-i-can-prove-it/


3 posted on 11/30/2011 10:49:59 AM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: TBBT

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2814200/posts

Rasmussen has Newt over Obama 45 to 43!!!!!!!!!


4 posted on 11/30/2011 10:50:19 AM PST by sodpoodle ( Newter the Democrats - top to bottom.)
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To: TBBT

Newt Hampshire


5 posted on 11/30/2011 10:50:19 AM PST by Berlin_Freeper (For years the Left protested "the occupation of Iraq"- now they want to "Occupy" all across the US)
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To: TBBT

So Fox news is pushing the establishment Rino... Yawn.


6 posted on 11/30/2011 10:50:45 AM PST by Mechanicos (Why does the DOE have a SWAT Team?)
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To: TBBT

So was Rudy in November of 2007.


7 posted on 11/30/2011 10:54:48 AM PST by bwc2221
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To: TBBT

I think I may throw up.

The man who told us that Dede Scozzafava was the way to go... Not to mention his support of Climate Change with Nazi Pelosi... And education with Al Sharpton.... And amnesty... And oh, a thrice married, Fannie Mae consultant...

God we are screwed.


8 posted on 11/30/2011 10:55:36 AM PST by nhwingut (Dear Palin: Please Reconsider)
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To: Mechanicos

Yeah I got that distinct impression myself.


9 posted on 11/30/2011 10:56:01 AM PST by cripplecreek (Stand with courage or shut up and do as you're told.)
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To: TBBT

Good news: Romney is no longer frontrunner!
Bad news: Gingrich is frontrunner!

For me... It’s a wash.


10 posted on 11/30/2011 10:59:10 AM PST by greene66
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To: TBBT

Wow..great!! I am really looking forward to having a man that has slept around, taken huge amounts of money for ah counseling Fannie AND he’s the best candidate for America closing her eyes (again) and letting illegals do whatever they want.

I’m also looking forward to the fact that big government will continue to grow and the rhinos and media can laugh and poke a stick in the eye of the Tea Party ‘cause they are done!!

LOL...hey, he’s not black, he’s not an outside the beltway boy, he can talk a blue-streak (Americans understanding what he says is optional), he can talk around the questions instead of answering them directly and shortly.

PLUS..he can’t beat Obama. Yep...Newt sounds great to me!

sarcasm


11 posted on 11/30/2011 10:59:29 AM PST by stillafreemind
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To: TBBT

The GOP Establishment and the Beltway crowd is pleased. If either Newt or Romney is the GOP candidate, nothing will change. Newt will go through the motions (like he did with the Contract with America and Mitt won’t even try to fake it.

Once again, the grass roots loses out.


12 posted on 11/30/2011 11:00:39 AM PST by bwc2221
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To: stillafreemind

And Newt is for illegal aliens.


13 posted on 11/30/2011 11:01:06 AM PST by Jane Austen (Boycott the Philadelphia Eagles!)
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To: greene66
Good news: Romney is no longer frontrunner! Bad news: Gingrich is frontrunner!

LOL. My thoughts exactly. I have never been so down for a general election as I am today. We is screwed with either one.
14 posted on 11/30/2011 11:03:02 AM PST by nhwingut (Dear Palin: Please Reconsider)
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To: TBBT

Most people around here can’t handle the truth; waste of time to post. You should ask the dissenters what news they’d like you to post (their candidates). Then there’d be no barfing or slurring. Classy crowd.


15 posted on 11/30/2011 11:04:38 AM PST by sanjuanbob (Festina Lente)
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To: Jane Austen

[And Newt is for illegal aliens.]

Oh, really? Prove it......


16 posted on 11/30/2011 11:05:49 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: TBBT
" Do the Math -- Gingrich Is Now the GOP Front Runner"


17 posted on 11/30/2011 11:10:21 AM PST by Cobra64 (Common sense isn't common anymore.)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

His own words.


18 posted on 11/30/2011 11:11:47 AM PST by Jane Austen (Boycott the Philadelphia Eagles!)
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To: TBBT
Polls show that the former Cain voters are breaking by at least 2 to 1, and in some cases 3 to 1, for former speaker Gingrich.

It would be interesting ultimately to learn why Cain-likers are swinging toward Newt. Without implying a calculated tactic by Newt, because it appears that he and Herman are indeed friends, it certainly seems to be helping that Newt was notably vocal in his support for Cain when the harassment allegations hit. Cain supporters also may see Newt as less of a RINO than Romney.

19 posted on 11/30/2011 11:12:33 AM PST by Hebrews 11:6 (Do you REALLY believe that (1) God is, and (2) God is good?)
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To: TBBT

I guess it’s “Newt’s turn”.


20 posted on 11/30/2011 11:12:39 AM PST by Hugin ("Most time a man'll tell you his bad intentions if you listen and let yourself hear"--Open Range)
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