I’m not sure what a Ron Paul third-party run would do. A lot of the youth vote that went to Obama last time would shift to Paul, as would the votes of the kind of leftists who think Obama has just followed in Bush’s footsteps because of his failure to shut down Gitmo and his Libya intervention.
I suspect he’d prove to be more of a John Anderson than a Ross Perot.
Has Ralph Nadar crawled out from under his rock yet?