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To: concerned about politics
Seems like they are waiting on Iowa. If Cain wins Iowa and Gingritch and Romney round out the top three. I believe at that point, Santorum, Huntsman, and Bachman should all bow out.

That would boost Cain by about 10% more.

Then, if Cain wins South Caorlina and does well in New Hampshire, I hope Perry will bow out and that will throw another 10+ percent to Cain.

I do not expect Paul to get out any time soon.

So, then you have Cain, Romney, Gingritch and Paul. If Cain wins Florida...Gingritch may get out at that point and the majority of his support (maybe 2/3rds) goes to Cain. At that point, if it goes that way, you are looking at Cain with maybe 55-60%, Romney with 30-35% and Paul with his stanbing 10%.

The Cain train should roll on from there.

But that's a lot of what-ifs and speculation. Let's see what happens in Iowa first.

30 posted on 11/22/2011 8:36:41 AM PST by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: Jeff Head
Then, if Cain wins South Caorlina and does well in New Hampshire

New Hampshire is usually pretty liberal, right? I would think Romney, or Huntsman would do well there. I don't see New Hampshire voting for a black conservative. Maybe, but I just don't see it.

SC would be great if Cain could take it. That would be huge.

31 posted on 11/22/2011 8:48:18 AM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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