Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus RCP Average
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Cain Romney Paul Gingrich Bachmann Perry Santorum Huntsman Spread
RCP Average 10/19 - 11/3 -- 25.5 20.5 10.8 9.5 7.5 7.5 3.7 1.5 Cain +5.0
IA + SC = Nomination because that MOMENTUM will lead to a Florida win right after!
GAME. SET. MATCH. CAIN!
Your scenario is certainly possible. I know from past primaries how quickly it can go from boom to bust for any given candidate. There are too many factors to accurately predict how it will go.