“I am basing that on my personal interaction with many people.”
Considering that blacks still know next to nothing about Cain at this point, I think you’re being pre-mature. I have no doubt he will take his campaign to places that no white Republican will get near, and he will hit on issues that blacks can identify with (starting with education). Sure, he may not get 50%, but if he gets 20 or 30% it’s lights out.
You have no clue what’s going on.
I know lots of educated black men and women that will vote dem even though they themselves have lived conservative lives for the most part.
There is a great sympathy on their part, that even they cant call BS on.
Many have Grammys and Grampys that are bitter and poor.
They meter how much they dole out to the family by blaming the old folks plight on the conservative pricks.
I have seen it over and over.
You will find Hispanics to be far more accepting of conservatism.