I think Cain is a passing fancy and he knows it. He lacks the organization and deep pockets of the 2 Gov.'s. We are going over the candidates and picking "our guy" on FR, but most of the country is really not engaged at this point.
Cain looks pretty good to the base right now because he "shoots from the hip" and everyone is sick of the beltway crowd. However, the nomination will come down to who can get the voters to come out in the primaries. The northeast "moderate" money people pushed for Christie to get in the race because they see the writing on the wall. Romney can't get over 25% in the polls. They figure Christie can do better because he's more willing to confront opponents than "sweet talking" Romney.
What they aren't factoring and the media aren't is the role social conservatives play in the primaries. We will not vote for someone weak on Pro-Life, Pro-Family, Pro-Marriage. The wild card will be the open primaries. The Rats seeing the weakness of obama may cross over and vote for the most liberal-Romney.
Right now Romney is strong in the northeast. Perry is strong in the south. The midwest and mountain states will be the key. PM astutely pointed out if it goes to CA. the crossover Rats will probably swing it to Romney.
I think if Perry wins big in FL he will be in good shape. If Cain wins in FL then you have to figure Romney is going to get the nomination. If conservatives do this we will have squandered one of the great opportunities in national politics. Liberalism is on trial in this election and nominating a liberal negates that.
Great analysis, wmfights! I do believe you are right about this.
May God forgive us if we conservatives squander this perhaps once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.
Obama's minions have been doing opposition research on Romney the entire past year at least. He's the guy they want to run against. Plus this anti-Wall Street farce being orchestrated by the unions and Acorn offshoots has been crafted to undermine a Romney candidacy, as Rush has presciently pointed out: Romney is being set up as a nefarious "Wall Street insider" — a nasty robber baron determined to plunder the middle class who, among other things, would outsource American jobs to other countries in the name of corporate Profits....
It's a slander, to be sure. But I still dislike this "liberal" who has been known to speak out of both sides of his mouth, depending on his personal circumstances and audience. I sense he is an opportunist....
Thank you so much for writing, dear wmfights!
Thank you so much for sharing your insights, dear wmfights!