[WOSG]

“Why are they confident?”

4 reliable statist liberals, 2 of whom Obama appointed
1 squish who most likely would not go out on this limb
1 true constitutionalist (Thomas)
3 conservatives who should be solid

5-4 upheld would be the over-under on this. BUT Kagan should recuse AND Kennedy should over-turn ... to get you to 5-3 overturned.

I hope!

[Ken H]

The only hope I see is for a) SCOTUS to strike down the individual mandate and b) also rule that that voids the entire thing.

Otherwise, ObamaCare stands. This SCOTUS is NOT going to overturn the New Deal Commerce Clause.