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To: Stosh
Under those circumstances my understanding is that the rulings below would be left undisturbed and the circuit court rulings would apply in their geographical jurisdictions. As a practical matter, one would expect the Chief Justice to use all his persuasive powers to prevent such a split just as Chief Justice Earl Warren delayed the vote on the Brown versus Board of Education case which desegregated the schools until he could get a unanimous Court. I would also expect the Chief Justice to attempt to delay the decision until a 9th Justice could be confirmed. The pressure would be tremendous.

The justices would all be well aware that they would be leaving the country in chaos and I cannot believe that one on one side or the other would not cave to get a ruling. Again, the pressure would be absolutely tremendous and every justice would be concerned about whether the institution itself could survive.

It is fun to speculate about a country in which Obamacare applies in roughly half the states and not in the other half or applies in part of the country without the individual mandate. Under those circumstances I believe the entire plan would simply crash although to some degree it would depend on who controls Washington. Assuming the Republicans take control of all 3 needed branches, healthcare would probably be repealed and it is unlikely that the Democrats would attempt to mount a serious filibuster in the Senate. If they did, it would likely be overridden. If they were not, it is likely that the house would simply defund and a majority of the Senate would pass that law as part of the general budget and that, presumably, could not be filibustered.

If the Democrats retain either the Senate or the White House, it will test the character of the Republican majority elsewhere. There is very little in their history which gives one much confidence. So much depends on the kind of election we have the 2012.


111 posted on 09/28/2011 9:13:04 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: nathanbedford

Thanks for the detailed and thoughtful reply - I pretty much always enjoy your take on matters such as these.

And even as a Yankee with the deepest of roots in the North, having spent the best years of my life in South Carolina, I can attest to a real admiration for Southerners of the traditionalist bent, and among historical personages, for your namesake in particular.


112 posted on 09/28/2011 9:25:22 AM PDT by Stosh
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