“Polls at this point are meaningless. Take a look at who was leading 4 years ago.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2012_2008_gop_presidential_race_4_years_ago.html
Follow your instincts not the latest poll numbers. “
4 years ago the race was more fluid than it is today-there was no clear front-runner back then. Romney was trying to be (like he is now), but after Huckster took him out in Iowa things went downhill for Mitt.
Unless Sarah gets in (and that’s a big if), things aren’t likely to change much. With this current field, people are going to coalesce around either Romney or Perry. With conservatives outnumbering moderates around 2-1 and Perry having a big edge in 2 of the first 3 states (Iowa & S.C.), Mitt’s only hope is another first tier conservative like Sarah getting in and taking votes from Perry. If that doesn’t happen, I think the race at this point is definitely Perry’s to lose.
If Palin gets in now, that will help Romney and she will still not be the nominee. She has NOTHING to gain by getting in. She will be an influence if she remains on the sidelines.
Bachmann was expected to win Iowa. If Perry wins Iowa, it is likely he can run the table.