It’s totally unplausible.
She’s going to IA, NH, and who knows where else, she’s maintained this PAC, hired staff, has these sub-rosa grassroots people, went to the IA state fair and to that movie event in Pella, etc...all so she can endorse Rick Perry?
And what kind of kingmaker would she be? Perry is already up by double digits nationally and in IA and SC. By the end of the month his leads could be even greater. So if she endorses him when he’s up by 10-15 on the rest of the field will that really make her the kingmaker?
It’ll just look like she’s jumping on the bandwagon, late to the party. Is she going to take credit for his victory when he was already up big without her help?
And if she’s really as unpopular and toxic as the media says she is, why would Perry even want her endorsement? It would only hurt him in the general. “The successor to W in TX, endorsed by Sarah Palin in IA” I don’t know if he wants that tag. If she really wanted to help Perry, she’d stay out and let him without her influence and then he’d be better off in the general and couldn’t be tagged as being “annointed” by her.
If she had endorsed Perry way back when he announced right at the start to give him a boost I could see that. But endorsing him a few weeks from now when his lead will likely only have increased won’t have any impact. WHat’s the news going to say, “TX Gov Rick Perry, currently lapping the GOP field was endorsed by Sarah Palin today, but will it matter, he already has a huge lead”
The most plausible explanation for what she’s doing is that she’s still considering running herself. There’s no reason at all to go to IA and NH if she’s not. None. The most plausible is that she’s waiting to see how Perry does over the next few weeks(whether he starts to fade) and if by the end of the month she sees an opening, she’ll probably get in.
If Perry is cruising and beating back all comers, I think she likely stays out and focuses on the House and Senate races and just assuming the same role she did in the 2010 elections.
That’s the most plausible.
I really do understand where you are going with this. However, I’ve learned not to second guess her. I will say this. I think either scenario is possible, or something we have not even thought about. That’s why she’s so fun to watch.
And the press, regarding her, is even more fun. 8->