[AZLiberty]

Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. “There have been major policy changes in this administration. We’ve seen the biggest stimulus in history and an complete overhaul of the healthcare system so I gave him policy change,” says the scholar. Another win for Obama.

Doesn't it matter that the policy change was voted in without discussion or popular support?

Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. Says Lichtman, “There wasn’t any social unrest when I made my predictions for 2012 and there still isn’t.” Obama wins a fifth key here.

Doesn't the Tea Party count? Admittedly, our social unrest is more civilized than their civil unrest, but it's still unrest.

Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. “This administration has been squeaky clean. There’s nothing on scandal,” says Lichtman. Another Obama win.

Obama's election was a scandal in itself!

[buccaneer81]

The social unrest I was thinking about is the black flash mobs and union thugs running wild. The Tea Party isn’t “unrest.” It’s a peaceful political reaction to address grievances and restore logical fiscal values.

[wintertime]

Obama’s election was a scandal in itself!
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That he is a usurper, not a natural born citizen, and one who as posted numerous forgeries, is a deliberately unreported scandal.