I agree, I called every election for the winner since Reagan’s reelection. That’s when I learned to just absorb the ambiance, ignore the polls and listen to my gut.
This is meaningless hype. Obama is going down. He’s going to be written off as a failed experiment. We’re Conservatives, so it is natural for us to loathe the man and detest what he has done to the country. But the real key is the attitude of the Independents.
They don’t really dislike Obama, but they are tired of him. They’re tired of his fat-a$$ed nagging wife with a face that scares babies, and they’re tired of his ineffectual fumbling with the levers of government.
They’ve had enough of socialism and want an American as President again.
Also, the 300,000 or so folks slated for deportation who are getting work permits will soon have their voter registration cards, just in time.
Unions, Young Black Panthers, Acorns (or whatever their new name is), etc., have been honing their Art of War, while Tea Partiers and Christians (real ones, not the Emergent ones) have been labelled "terrrorists," and have been busy keeping their families afloat, not power-organizing, and all that needs to be done to combat the Progressive Establishment.
I hope you're correct on that gut feeling!