As with Palin, I’m waiting to see if Perry even announces. If he doesn’t, then I’ll assume he’s either not interested even if able to win, or his advisors are telling him that there are reasons not to do so having to do with not being able to win.
I’m thinking he’ll get in, and if he does and Palin doesn’t, then Perry will be high on my list.
There are only 2 candidates who would be like having Obama: Romney, Huntsman.
There are 2 candidates who are dead on arrival: Gingrich, Huntsman, and Giuliani.
Those who are those who are very or mostly conservative: Palin, Santorum, Bachman, Perry, Pawlenty, and Cain. I would vastly prefer any of these to Obama.
Of those 6, only Palin and Perry have the organization and/or base support that would make a victory very possible. Palin is very conservative and Perry is moderately conservative, but conservative in the areas that matter most to me. Both are far better than Obama.
Neither are yet running.
Of those conservatives actually running, I’d suggest that Bachman and Pawlenty have the best chances of winning.
TURN OUT! is the ticket.
If it's a close vote, the Dems win using voter fraud.
A lot of states (with their shiny 2010 GOP legislature majorities) are finally getting Voter ID passed -- Gov Perry just signed that bill in Texas.
TURN OUT and a strong message is critical.
I believe Perry has that message and the stump style to deliver it.
Governor Rick Perry's Speech at Red State Conference in 2010 (Video and Notes)
In Speech Perry:
Reads the 10th Amendment – What a beautiful succinct, simple statement – words penned for a time such as this…… (nice list of rights being taken away and by whom).
Perry notes: Republicans lost because you couldn’t tell the difference between a Republican and a Democrat… (expands)
Growing mood in the country – passion across the state and when I look at Glenn Beck’s event in Washington D.C. and other events, it warms the cockles of my heart……”
Texas has led but it’s been a hell of a struggle against Washington D.C. – they must trust the people, they don’t trust the people.
Governing isn’t that hard…
First – Don’t spend all the money!
TX legislature meets 140 days every OTHER year!
TARP – Stimulus – great concern in Texas, country, world --- small businesses don’t know what shoe will fall next – what regulations – costs – job loss. Health care bill – cost – loss of access to health care…..
Second: Fair and predictable tax and regulatory policy…..
Third: Legal system that does not allow for over suing. Sweeping tort reform 2003 in TX has paid HUGE dividends. Went from Jack-pot Justice (legal hell hole) to 60% more doctors practicing in Texas from 7 years ago (expands more on this) – about access to health care.
Last step: Loser Pays tells them, you better have a case. If frivolous – fishing for settlement – they’ll foot the bill! (since this speech, Perry signed it into law)
Haley Barbour told him, If "Loser Pays" passes you can put turnstiles on the TX border and charge people to come into your state!”
THAT’S IT! Put those 4 principles into place and tell government to get the hell out of the way. – Rick Perry
Your analysis is pretty dead on. I basically want the most electable person who isn’t named Romney or Huntsman. I’d put Rudy and Newt there as well but they’re complete non-factors.