If you're convinced that she's not running, then anything she does reinforces that conviction.
If you're convinced that she's running, then anything she does reinforces that conviction.
If you're convinced that she's not running, then anything she does reinforces that conviction.
If you're convinced that she's not running, then anything she does reinforces that conviction.
See Post 201.
Running or not running is totally irrelevant.
What is relevant is if you are running with a firm conviction that you are going to win the general Presidential Election on November 2012 or if you are running for other reasons (increasing your notoriety and income potential) that have absolutely nothing to do with the belief that you have a snowball's chance in Hell of actually being elected President of the United States of America.
Case in point:
I put Sarah Palin's intention of pretending to run, for as long as she can possibly get away with it, at 100%.
I put Sarah Palin's chances of actually declaring as a Presidential candidate at 50-50.
I put Sarah Palin's intention of actually fighting it out in the primaries, to the bitter end, as Hillary did, at ZERO.
Once the Sarah Palin brand has been enhanced, Sarah Palin will bail out (with an excuse that will sound extremely noble to her adoring Fan Club) before the campaign starts making a significant dent in her own bank account.
The length of her run, if any, will therefore totally depend on how many donations she collects. As soon as the campaign serves no useful financial purpose to increase the current net worth or the future potential net worth of the Palin family, the Sarah Palin Presidential campaign will come to a screeching halt.
Regardless of what the media says, Sarah Palin is not stupid. She may not be the most well read politician in the stable regarding topics she has no interest in (History, geopolitics, etc.) but she is an extremely smart cookie and her current bank account reflects that.
Will Sarah Palin go millions of dollars into debt when she can read the Gallup polls that say that 65% of all voters will "definitely NOT" vote for her?
Of course not.
While I openly question the rationality of Sarah Palin's rabid supporters, I do not believe that Sarah Palin is dumb and such a course of action would be as dumb as a doorknob stupid as you can possibly get.
Sarah Palin is as dumb as a fox and she is playing her cards brilliantly.
April 15, 2010 ... Sarah Palin income 12 million dollars since leaving office
As I said, I believe that, eventually, Palin will endorse Governor Rick Perry, who, so far, is the most conservative candidate that has expressed any interest in running that can actually beat Obama.
A cute female without any executive experience who has been in Congress since 2007 (Bachmann) will not be elected President of the United States of America. That is nothing but Affirmative Action and America, given that choice, will stick with the Affirmative Action figure that now has 4 years experience. Bachmann is just another Chritine O'Donell that will lead the GOP to an electoral booldbath in November.
A pizza chain CEO with a Politically Correct skin color who has never won a single election in his life (Cain) will not be elected President of the United States of America. That is nothing but Affirmative Action and America, given that choice, will stick with the Affirmative Action figure that now has 4 years experience. Cain is just another Alan Keyes that will lead the GOP to an electoral booldbath in November.
So, Palin is saying that she "really likes" Perry: Ten and a half years as the Governor of the second most populous State in the Union and of the State with the highest job increase in the Union by far.
Translation: "I have a Texas-sized load of successful executive experience and I happen to be conservative, according to Sarah Palin."
That is the type of conservative that can actually win in November of 2012 which is why Sarah Palin is throwing praises his way.
In the end, Sarah Palin will enhance her brand, increase her earning potential, increase her net worth and actually help get Obama defeated in 2012 rather than pulling another Christine O'Donell fiasco.
I’m not convinced she’s not running.