26% of the republican voters say they will never vote for her, so I guess that means she will need 40% of the black vote.?????
the 26% will have to vote for Obama then, let ‘em
“26% of the republican voters say they will never vote for her, so I guess that means she will need 40% of the black vote.?????”
Wonder what the percentage is that say they would never vote for Romney?
Rasmussen Poll: Palin favorability highest with 2012 GOP voters
Are you a wet blanket, somebody who’s trolling against Palin, or both?
26% of rinos would never vote for her. That leaves 74% that either would or might.
She'll have to go after some very difficult voter blocks - and I'll be very careful to not "double count" here....
1. Blacks - I believe she'll do well with educated, working lower middle class to the very upper rich class in this group. She'll never appeal or gain traction with the inner-city, poor, hand-out receiving blacks.
2. Other minorities - principally spanish. I don't know enough about this one to comment on it...except to say, she'll need at least 25% of this entire block.
3. Illegal immigrants who vote (illegally to be sure, but vote nonetheless). She'll draw nothing from this group - hopefully it is small
4. The biggie....INDEPENDENT voters. This is the critical block. She's got to attract and hold at least 75% (better 80%) of this group (yes, I know there are independent blacks and other minorities...but I'm assuming small numbers). It would appear no one professional national polling organization is asking this question. But from all appearances, she's got a lot of hard work to do with this group.
5. Rino/repub/conservatives (yes, I know there are blacks and other minorities in here, but damn few, I'm thinking). If she wins the nomination (assuming she runs), she'll have to have at least 80% of this group. The others - avowed Palin haters - will either stay home, or jump to the stain's side. So she'll have to sway at least 4% to 6% more to her side than she currently accounts for.
6. The left. Unless they are "closet conservatives", she'll get less than 0.005% of this group.
So...do a headcount. There's your 2012 election in a nutshell.
If Palin's true intentions is not to run. This cartoon will be the official illustration of Palin's image among the American General Public.