The polls done in New Hampshire and nationally by the Wall Street Journal show a vote split that puts Trump in second place among GOP candidates with Mitt Romney first.
Looks like Trump sucks the lifeblood out of conservative candidates taking enough of the vote to put Mitt Romney in the lead.
Romney will be the GOP nominee.
Is that the result we want???? Trump splitting the vote to allow a Mitt Romney win.
Right now Trump is in 2nd place behind Mitt, but it is VERY early in the game. He’s been at this, what, two weeks & he’s that close to Mitt already???
Let’s dig down.
First, Huckabee won’t be running. So let’s say ~60% of his support goes to Palin, bringing her up to about third place. The rest of Huck’s support splits between Romney and Trump mostly, but a little to the others. In this case Romney still leads.
Newt runs, but drops out when he has a poor showing. He endorses Trump, who gets a bit over half of Newt’s former support. This brings Trump to a 1 pt lead overall over Romney.
Palin drops out, and helps Romney a bit, but by this time, Trump has the edge and gets the nomination.