Will the rural counties be enough to offset the gains in Milwaukee and Dane counties?
It is not the rural counties as they do not have many votes, look for washington, waukesha, and ozaukee counties which have not reported a lot of votes yet/. All three are suburbs of milwaukee and the three most heavily republican counties in the state.
The answer will be a big NO. Remember Milwaukee is home of the smokes for votes program and the RNC van tire replacement program. Nothing to see here folks...just your usual voter fraud. Also remember Dane county can turn out large vote totals if needed
I actually think he wins by taking enough in the Republican suburban counties. The one problem is that the precincts that have reported in those counties so far are large ones, so while only 27% of Waukesha has reported, I'd guess that it's about 50% of the votes in Waukesha (Prosser is taking over 70% in that county and has a 40,000 vote lead there).
If you put a gun to my head, I'd pick Prosser to win, but I'm nowhere near comfortable making a projection. Once Dane and Milwaukee are all in or close to all in, then I'll feel comfortable making some comments. Of course they'll likely hold back a few tens of thousands of votes there just in case.