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To: bigred44
That would only happen if Eu Claire County picks up more than 1200 extra votes for Kloppenburg. What’s the chance of that?

The spreadsheet predicts that there will be 1,700 extra Klop votes in Eu Claire. Don't know the variability around that.

How do we know what the remaining uncounted votes are in these 21 precincts. Precincts are not all equal in votes.

Your statements are true and are sources of uncertainty in my model. I just like to try to make a science out of everything.

1,480 posted on 04/05/2011 10:38:57 PM PDT by SSS Two
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To: SSS Two

Based on 21 remaining precincts out of 61, and current 40:60 split in votes, I come up with a max of 1095 votes using same ratio. 21/61*(9524-6343). How you calculating?


1,494 posted on 04/05/2011 10:44:43 PM PDT by bigred44
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