Posted on 03/25/2011 4:19:14 AM PDT by WatchYourself
At the end of Part 1 of this series I asked the question: What happens when Americans, perhaps watching a debate, a speech, or a town hall meeting, begin to realize that Palin is the candidate that they agree with? Yet we had been told, countless times, that Palin is controversial and holds extreme positions (though Obama is never described as such), and here we sit, agreeing with these “crazy” ideas. How will this effect her electability? There are 5 major issues that will win or lose the 2012 Election for someone, if they can handle those issues correctly.
And for the first time ever, Barack Obama will be running in an election where he actually has a political record and has actions to be judged on. Pretty startling fact for a guy running for his second term in the White House. There can be no more myths about where he stands on economic, social, foreign, and domestic issues. No more imaginary “take a scalpel to the budget” or tax cut talk. Not even the media could spin that very well today. There are a handful of major issues that the Republican nominee can use to beat Obama over the head with in 2012. Sarah Palin is the only major candidate who can debate all of these issues without serious conflicts of the past. This makes her both credible and electable.
So fine, Obama and Palin are debating. 100 million people are watching. They are all expecting Palin to be a moron and then are shocked when she isn’t. And then the issues come up. And here we are, wondering who the extremist is. And they debate The Big 5.
Healthcare: Obama, obviously, supports his healthcare plan. Republicans, even he of Romneycare, unequivocally vow to dismantle and replace the program. It has never been popular, even one year after. Even with the most leading questioning pollsters can only come up with a tie. A March 13, 2011 CNN Poll found opposition to Obamacare at a stunning 59%, with support at just 37%. Rasmussen Regular polling finds double-digit support in opposition. A March 19 Gallup poll found that 70% of respondents thought the expensive overhaul would either do nothing for them or make their care worse. A Bloomberg poll found 65-32% of respondents opposed the main clause of the bill, the individual mandate. A February CBS Poll found 51%-34% oppose the bill. This is what we call consensus. And who holds the extremist view? Not Palin. Who agrees with the public? Not Obama.
Spending/Deficit: I think the election of 2010 speaks for itself. As voters rushed to throw out as many Democrats as they could from local and state positions and replace them with “right-wing extremists” the Obama White house was still pretty sure that this whole “hissyfit” was because he was half-black. Yes, because if throwing out a bunch of old white liberals and replacing them with young, and quite diverse I might add, conservatives isn’t a sign of racial hatred towards Obama, I don’t know what is. Obama’s spending is indefensible. It is easy pickings for a Governor who cut spending even while running surpluses. A little-know fact among the public that will be sure to warm their hearts. A March 21 CBS poll showed 68% of respondents thought the deficit was a serious problem, while another 26% said it was somewhat serious. That’s a whopping 94% who think it’s serious. And no, Obama does not fall into that 94%. For someone who has never run anything, he is really good at running a deficit. Obama’s main theme in 2008 was Bush’s deficits. I think that card may run out (but he will try).
Jobs/Taxes: Obama promised if we spent $1 Trillion, unemployment would never go beyond 8%. Not only did it immediately soar past 8% into the 10% range, it hasn’t even flirted with 8% in almost 2 years. As Palin pointed out in a March 24th Facebook posting, the real unemployment is almost double that (unless you believe giving up looking is a sign of a recovering economy). Despite Obama declarations that “The stimulus has worked as planned” the plan was “never go above 8%.” And Republicans always win on taxes. Except, of course, in 2008 where Obama positions himself as the tax-cutter with constant promises of tax cuts for 95% of Americans. Obama simply out-taxed McCain.
Immigration: Jan Brewer won the hearts (and votes) of Arizonans by being one of the first border-state politicians to take this issue seriously. Again, who would be controversial here? Despite laughable claims by the Obama administration on their “border toughness” the public is squarely in the opposite camp. A Jan. 17 USA Today/Gallup poll found opposition to amnesty at 55-43%. An NBC poll was a near identical 55%-43%. A Quinnipiac Poll found 60% Disapproval (28% approval) of Obama’s handling of Immigration with 68% stating he should focus more on enforcing laws to prevent illegal immigration that worrying about legalizing them. A CBS Poll found 88% of respondents feeling illegal immigration is either a very or somewhat serious problem. Who is extreme here?
Energy: The Green movement is becoming less important as gas prices are skyrocketing along with everything that relies on gas to get made. The Green Movement is losing ground as impractical and costing jobs and money. And who has better experience here than a certain governor from a certain state? In 2008, Obama voters were running through the streets announcing they weren’t gonna have to worry about silly things like gas prices and mortgage payments, because Obama was going to deliver. So there they are: The Big Five. Five issues that can win or lose a Presidential Election, and Palin is on the right side of all of them. She can be on the offensive on every one, as Obama is left defensively responding or flat-out lying (but, alas, he has a record now!). She can go after spending, healthcare, jobs, energy, and immigration. Where she can succeed, the other will stumble. Romney’s big skeleton is Healthcare. Sure, he can say it was different because it was a state issue. But, alas, the principals of his state law were liberal. Gingrich loses on immigration and energy. Huckabee loses on immigration and spending.
In 2008, McCain dropped the ball on half of these issues. Obama out-conservatived (in rhetoric anyway) John McCain on spending, taxes, jobs, and energy. Immigration was a tie for equal ineptitude. McCain had the edge nowhere. Palin is electable because she is most in tune with public opinion on all of the issues. Supposed “electable” candidates like McCain, Dole, and Bush 41 (after a courtesy term) are DOA as they believe what they have been told: Americans like moderates. They don’t, really. Conservatives sat 2008 out because they did not have a candidate at the top of the ticket to vote for. America is a conservative country, and it takes a conservative to win. Not only is Sarah Palin the only major candidate that is completely tuned-in to public opinion on the big 5 issues, but she is also the only candidates who can put together all of the necessary components to win against the $1 billion candidate. But that is a matter for “Elites Way Off on Palin Electability: Part 3 – Components of Victory.”
Exactly.
If the Obamabots would turn off the MSM (all Obama spin, all the time), that would be a start.
Good analysis, pollinsider.
BTTT
Palin was a great Gov up here, did all kinds of good things, made a couple mistakes no big blunders though, but the people generally wish she was back in charge now; no joke. Media has really warped her image which is criminal.
This unceasing barrage of Palin unelectability stories coming from the Left is actually rather laughable. If Palin is so “unelectable”, simple logic would dictate that the Left remain silent, laughing up their sleeves in anticipation of another cakewalk to the White House in 2012. Why warn the Republicans against selecting yet another bad presidential candidate like McCain? The truth IMHO is actually quite the reverse; they are patently terrified of running against her.
The motives behind similar stories emerging from the Right are far more prosaic. A number of individuals are eyeing a run for president and Palin is “in the way”. Also, on a more subterranean level, I think the current power brokers within the Republican party see Mrs Palin as a real threat to their grip on the levers of the Republican party.
ping for later, good stuff
Sarah has no need for the beltway crowd, she is a real American, and the people of this country know it.
Has she announce running? I notice FNC did not suspend her with the others planning a run which is a sign that she is NOT announcing a run anytime soon. This author automatically assumes she is running, and is the candidate.
It is not like Palin is under-exposed now.
I don't see the magic event happening as this author does. If she were capable of doing this, why doesnt she do it right now and end all these arguments? She should start convincing americans that they agree with her right now (better yet last year) and all these critics/skeptics will be neutralized.
Obama: For someone who has never run anything, he's really good at running a deficit.
Lame, lame lame. Huckabee still has his Fox News Saturday night program ad appears on several shows and ditto for Newt even though Newt is no longer beinbg paid.
That is my point. Huckabee appears to not be running and would rather keep his $$$ FNC job so he was NOT suspended, Newt got suspended for planning a run. That indicates what I said, Palin is not planning to announce anytime soon, it at all.
Are you saying you are sure she will announce a run for 2012?
The Left is terrified of Sarah, simply because they know full well she’s a strong, viable candidate. Add to that the growing fear they have about Obummer and his ineptitude, and you can see the wheels coming off for them.
Another major bummer for the Obummer crowd is he’s no longer a rock star, the Messiah, a God. The MSM did its job in ‘08, but now he has to run on his record and accomplishments. Hmmm, touting high unemployment, failed economic policies, a housing market in shambles, no clear leadership on foreign policy issues, etc., and you get the picture. Don’t think for a minute, though, that the MSM won’t try and carry his water again. But this time around the bucket is gonna have lots of holes.
Why do you think Huckabee is running thoise ads against obamacare that solicits 50,000 voice mails per day?
Answer: to get a mailing list for donations. Huckabee is planning to run!
Why do you think Huckabee wrote that recent book, *Simple Government*?
Answer: Huckabee is planning to run!
Born February 11, 1964 in Sandpoint, ID (Meets the Jus Soli Requirement)
Parents were
Charles R Heath, born in ID
Sarah Sheeran, born in WI
Both parents were US Citizens at the time of her birth (Meets the Jus Sanguinis Requirement)
Sarah Palin is a NATURAL BORN CITIZEN unlike Comrade Barry.
He may or may not be running, but he is not planning to announce anytime soon because of FNC$$$ he would have to give up. He has things way better now than he would as a candidate.
I asked you if you were sure that Palin was running and you replied that Huck was running. You seem to be trying to argue that Palin really is going to be (officially)running , without actually stating that she is going to run (officially) .
Are you sure she will announce a 2012 candidacy? You obviously are very impressed with her and know alot about her, I dont want to argue about that. But are you sure she will announce?
I’d love to see Palin debate Obama. Without his teleprompter, oh man, he’d be left babbling gibberish.
To fix things that are broken, America needs someone with NEW ideas, someone who LEADS with principle, and not being energized by popular mobs. You go Girl, Unleash the Momma Grizzlies.
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