Posted on 02/16/2011 11:31:40 PM PST by neverdem
With less than a year to go till the Iowa caucus on February 6, 2012, the conventional wisdom is that President Obama is vulnerable, but there is no Republican who can beat him.
In a new CNN poll, 26% of registered voters say they will definitely vote for Obama and 37% say they won't. If you add in those leaning one way or the other, it turns out that 47% will probably or definitely vote for Obama and 51% probably or definitely won't.
What does a poll like this mean with more than 20 months to go to Election Day? Not much! The hardest thing for pundits like myself and other talking heads is to say "I don't know."
The easiest thing is to argue that a poll says something and that only we who have our heads buried in polls can interpret it. Well nobody knows what you, the electorate, are going to think in the months ahead -- or what events are going to dominate the national and international agenda.
The safest bet is that Obama will be the Democratic nominee. You can go to the bank on that one. And my counsel is to stay away from betting this far in advance on the Republican side. Unless you're privy to divine inspiration, the best thing to do is to watch the process evolve.
One thing that you should know though is there are some extremely competent candidates who I believe will run -- and that whoever wins the GOP nomination will be a formidable opponent for Obama.
Unlike past Republican races, there is no establishment candidate or heir apparent who automatically picks up the mantle. From 1952 until 2008, every Republican presidential ticket -- except 1964, the year of Barry Goldwater -- included a Nixon, a Bush...
(Excerpt) Read more at articles.cnn.com ...
"The America of my time line is a laboratory example of what can happen to democracies, what has eventually happened to all perfect democracies throughout all histories. A perfect democracy, a warm body democracy in which every adult may vote and all votes count equally, has no internal feedback for self-correction. It depends solely on the wisdom and self-restraint of citizens which is opposed by the folly and lack of self-restraint of other citizens. What is supposed to happen in a democracy is that each sovereign citizen will always vote in the public interest for the safety and welfare of all. But what does happen is that he votes his own self-interest as he sees it which for the majority translates as Bread and Circuses.
Bread and Circuses is the cancer of democracy, the fatal disease for which there is no cure. Democracy often works beautifully at first. But once a state extends the franchise to every warm body, be he producer or parasite, that day marks the beginning of the end of the state. For when the plebs discover that they can vote themselves bread and circuses without limit and that the productive members of the body politic cannot stop them, they will do so, until the state bleeds to death, or in its weakened condition the state succumbs to an invaderthe barbarians enter Rome."
Robert A. Heinlein
Oh, Bammy’s got the man-with-sperm-leaking-outa-the-rectum vote and the woman-with-female-fingerprints-on-my-cervix vote, too. And the lapsed/weak-Catholic-ethnic-East-European vote, along with the mainline/liberal Evangelical Protestant vote. All the groups I’ve listed pretty much deserve to be lead by an Affirmative Action lost-little-boy like Obama. so it’s just desserts, hayna? And pretty much a wrap...
Christie for President and Mark Levine AG. By then it will be refreshing to have the Consitution back where it belongs. TO THE PEOPLE....
McCain = Dole. Sames turds, different punchbowl.
Check out the “BashEm’s : Obama” app in the android market.
Give Obama what for. 1st Amendment or not this will probably get banned soon.
To Tell the Truth, an old TV series, not what the American people are seeking.
In 2008, the question was “can Hillary be beaten?”
What will Obama run on in 2012? Double digit unemployment or double-digit inflation...or BOTH!
13 Reasons Obama WILL Lose in 2012...
13. New Mexico
12. Virginia
11. Wisconsin
10. Michigan
9. Indiana
8. Iowa
7. Colorado
6. Ohio
5. North Carolina
4. Reapportioning
3. Unemployment
2. Inflation
1. Sarah Palin
Of course, you just have to get him to go to Egypt and wear a blond wig.
If Hiterily gets elected with enough votes in Congress, these will be the good old days. The purists, who will stay at home because our candidate couldn't walk on water without getting the soles of his Teva's wet will have gifted us with another Clintoon pillaging. -- Grampa Dave 1/18/2008ditto:
Don't worry. As soon as Hillary or Hussein take over the reins of the US, thanks to anti-McCain conservatives, al Qaeda can start its renewal again. -- nwrep 2/09/2008
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