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To: Innovative
There's a lot of nonsense about New Hampshire being posted on this thread, much of which has been addressed already, and which I'm willing to forgive as it comes from people who clearly don't live here. But as to the poll itself - it was not a "Boston Globe" poll - it is a WMUR-TV (Manchester, NH) poll commissioned by the University of New Hampshire.

The poll sampled adults (i.e. - not registered voters, and definitely not likely primary voters), and then extracted a smaller subset of self-described "Republicans" and "Tea Party supporters" via cross-tabulation and recorded their current preferences.

Three points about this methodology: first, it is unreliable as a matter of sampling error rate, which increases exponentially each time one extracts a response to a subset question. Two: it is far too early (11 months before the NH primary) to draw any conclusions from any such poll, that (three) is itself only a "preference" poll of undeclared, potential, and largely unknown candidates, which naturally skews the results toward familiar faces.

I think the only conclusions one might reasonably draw from the results are that Mitt Romney is well-known in NH (he has a vacation house here and has traveled extensively throughout the state) and that Sarah Palin is relatively unpopular here (for a number of reasons, I think, but that's another subject).

58 posted on 02/16/2011 6:06:41 AM PST by andy58-in-nh (America does not need to be organized: it needs to be liberated.)
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To: andy58-in-nh
Sarah Palin is relatively unpopular here...

Understatement of the year.

68 posted on 02/16/2011 9:25:37 AM PST by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: andy58-in-nh
Sarah Palin is relatively unpopular here...

Understatement of the year.

69 posted on 02/16/2011 9:25:46 AM PST by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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