Pretty shrewd analysis, but there is something afoot with Huckabee. While it is not openly known, he is NOT going to run this time.
His wife absolutely forbids it and he knows how he struggled to raise funds last time. His PAC is the lowest performing of all potential candidates.
Consider:
He has no money,
his campaign staff have all moved on to work for other people,
he just signed a seven figure contract with FOX,
he has launched a new radio show,
he knows he would be pilloried for the pardons/turned murderers,
he just took out a $2.5 million dollar mortgage for a mansion he is building in Florida
he’s backed out of speeches scheduled in Iowa this summer
he has scheduled a cruise this summer in what could be prime campaign time
...but the number one reason I know he is not running is: he’s gained back about 60 or 70 pounds of the original 100 pounds he lost before he ran in 2008.
Fat and happy with his Fox gig, and needing that high income to pay his mortgage, he isn’t going to run. He’s telling everyone he will decide ‘late.’ and I think that means he might get in if, and only if, he’s still leading in the polls and Governor Plain doesn’t get in, as they split the evangelical vote.
Knowing all this, when I see these polls, I automatically add a majority (probably 60% if not more) of Huckabee’s total to Palin’s.
You can see why I am confident as I’ve said all along; Governor Palin will win the nomination in a cakewalk and the White House in a landslide.
Intersting stuff. It certainly helps Palin if Huckabee doesn’t run.