Good analysis, but I would say they will get rid of Obamacare before it is ruled Unconstitutional for the reason that the act of being rejected by the USSC would weaken the FedGovs power. Even Republicans hate the thought of that. They only use the talk of small federal govt, within Constitutional limits as soundbites to get elected. When Republican voters figure this out, we will be much better off as a country.
Good summary of the article.