Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Gold Bears Predicting The Price Of Gold
The Market Oracle ^ | Dec 29, 2010 | Darryl_R_Schoon

Posted on 01/01/2011 2:41:10 PM PST by An Old Man

Bears are by nature cautious and while caution can be an ally, it can also be fatal where bold action is required.

It is understandable that investors who believe in paper money and paper-denominated assets do not understand gold. Gold, after all, is the natural refuge of disbelievers in the current financial paradigm; and, as today’s credit and debt-based paper markets come under increasing pressure and gold moves increasingly higher, most “paper bulls” remain increasingly perplexed.

In October 2009, when gold had again breached the $1,000 level, investment advisor Chad Brand warned investors not to jump onto “the gold bandwagon”. Unfortunately, for Mr. Brand’s clients, it was the time to jump—and still is today.

From Chad Brand, Seeking Alpha, October 7, 2009: http://seekingalpha.com/article/165317-gold-prices-a-familiar-trend

Here is a 35-year chart of gold prices. Based on what you see, would you want to jump onto the gold bandwagon?...I am bearish on gold over $1,000 per ounce and this chart is a good reason to at least be careful with the current precious metal of choice. The latest trend looks very familiar…

Chad Brand is the President of Peridot Capital Management LLC, a paper money advisory firm; and fifteen months after Mr. Brand cautioned investors to avoid the gold “bandwagon” gold is now $1,400, a 40 % gain. My advice: Avoid gold bears. They’re dangerous, especially now.

This is an Except, Read more here


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: gold; goldbugs
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-45 next last
Happy New Year everyone!

I predict that sometime before the next presidential election is held, Gold will be selling at near $2,500/oz.

1 posted on 01/01/2011 2:41:13 PM PST by An Old Man
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: An Old Man

You could look at a chart, or you could listen to the whir of the printing press. Your choice.


2 posted on 01/01/2011 2:52:47 PM PST by fhayek
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man

Happy New Year to you too!

How do you feel about Silver?

TrimTabs: “No Amount Of QE Will Be Able To Keep The Current Stock Market Bubble From Bursting”

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/trimtabs-no-amount-qe-will-be-able-keep-current-stock-market-bubble-bursting-eventually


3 posted on 01/01/2011 2:54:02 PM PST by FromLori (FromLori)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man

Gold was up about 40% last year while the market was up 9%. This means people in the markets really lost 31% when compared to gold.


4 posted on 01/01/2011 2:58:41 PM PST by Frantzie (Slaves do not have freedom only the illusion of freedom & their cable TV to drool at)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: fhayek

“You could look at a chart, or you could listen to the whir of the printing press. Your choice”.

...exactly! We’re printing enough money to place us in the same position as Germany in the 20’s. Worthless. We’ll probably lose our AAA rating in the next 2 years as well. On the other side of the coin, what do you do with gold if paper money becomes worthless?


5 posted on 01/01/2011 2:59:26 PM PST by albie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man

For years the talking heads on TV have been saying in the nightly news: “Gold was up today and the dollar was weak.”

In 2010 that slogan did not work. Gold was up 30% in 2010 and the dollar was up 3%.

We all know how fast dollars were printed in the USA in 2010.

For the dollar to be 3% higher at the end of the year, the currency presses were working double time in the other countries of the world.

There is a whole lotta money being printed that needs to go somewhere.


6 posted on 01/01/2011 3:03:17 PM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man
My prediction for 2011:

* Gold $1,700.00 Oz

* Silver $60.00 Oz

* Copper $6.00 Lb.

7 posted on 01/01/2011 3:04:05 PM PST by blam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: fhayek

LOL! Someone post that picture of the young African boy holding a stack over billions of Zimbabwe dollars. Totally worthless. Obama is Mugabe II.


8 posted on 01/01/2011 3:04:12 PM PST by Frantzie (Slaves do not have freedom only the illusion of freedom & their cable TV to drool at)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man
I love it. Gold bears are the people who warn drowning victims to beware of dehydration.


Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

9 posted on 01/01/2011 3:08:13 PM PST by The Comedian (Government: Saving people from freedom since time immemorial.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blam

My prediction for 2011:
* Gold $1,700.00 Oz

* Silver $60.00 Oz

* Copper $6.00 Lb.

____

I agree with gold at $1700, but would put silver at $45 and copper at $5.25. I believe bonds are going to be hit hard as there will be a moderate attempt to stop inflation.

The politicians do not have options other than to print money to inflate themselves out of the public debt they have created. Has anyone ever heard a politician say they made a mistake?


10 posted on 01/01/2011 3:08:58 PM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man
The problem is that there is no logical upper resistance level for gold. At the same time, it is a relatively small cap market and can be manipulated into a big selloff without warning. Gold could well go to 2500, and it could just as easily go to 800. Not for the faint -hearted.
11 posted on 01/01/2011 3:12:40 PM PST by hinckley buzzard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: The Comedian

Dude, you remember the old posts. I got in at 322 and 340, extexan was raising hell. As you know I am 400% above board, this is not an argument anymore.


12 posted on 01/01/2011 3:12:56 PM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Presbyterian Reporter
Has anyone ever heard a politician say they made a mistake?

Only when they got caught committing a felony.

I'd love silver at $60 but will still settle for $45.

13 posted on 01/01/2011 3:13:03 PM PST by Vince Ferrer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Presbyterian Reporter
There is a whole lotta money being printed that needs to go somewhere

Debt as money was very clever, but its time is up.

All that's going on now is that debt is being moved around - Greece's debt becomes Germany's debt, but Germany does not create value equal to its new debt.

It may go on for a few more years before the end.

14 posted on 01/01/2011 3:15:19 PM PST by Jim Noble (Re-elect Palin 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: FromLori
"How do you feel about Silver?"

That stuff is cold, hand and never says anything to me. I do have a few buckets full of it though and do not intend to part with it anytime soon.

15 posted on 01/01/2011 3:15:57 PM PST by An Old Man
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: hinckley buzzard
"...it could just as easily go to 800."

If I give you my home phone number, would you call me when that happens. I got a truck load of paper money just waiting for that.

16 posted on 01/01/2011 3:21:47 PM PST by An Old Man
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: blam
You are probably going to be very close with numbers like those.
17 posted on 01/01/2011 3:23:41 PM PST by An Old Man
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man

The problem with any predictions is that there are some large holders out there, i.e. George Soros who could dump at any time.


18 posted on 01/01/2011 3:25:00 PM PST by flyingtabby
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: flyingtabby

He isn’t dumping Gold. That was 2004, get wiser.


19 posted on 01/01/2011 3:27:59 PM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Frantzie

“Gold was up about 40% last year”

What? Try 30%


20 posted on 01/01/2011 3:30:26 PM PST by cowtowney
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-45 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson