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On the Bubble: 10 States Await Tuesday Census Verdict on Congressional Gains, Losses (Predictions?)
National Journal ^ | 12/17/10 | David Wasserman

Posted on 12/17/2010 3:15:41 PM PST by randita

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Any Freeper predictions?

I say TX gains two and PA loses two.

I predict two of the TX seats will be drawn to favor the GOP and two will probably be in metro areas (esp. Houston) and will probably favor the Dems.

PA will probably lose PA-12 (Critz) - if we're lucky. Don't know about the other PA one.

1 posted on 12/17/2010 3:15:45 PM PST by randita
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To: InterceptPoint; Impy; Clintonfatigued; Coop; AuH2ORepublican; Political Junkie Too; Crichton; ...

Care to make any predictions?


2 posted on 12/17/2010 3:16:25 PM PST by randita
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To: randita

I predict TX +6 seats. 1 RG Valley, 1 Austin/SA metro, 2 each Houston metro and DFW metro.


3 posted on 12/17/2010 3:20:27 PM PST by FlyingEagle
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To: randita

I predict the lying rat bastards in DC will “fudge” the numbers for a rat advantage...Did you really expect an honest count?...red


4 posted on 12/17/2010 3:20:53 PM PST by rednek ("Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.")
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To: randita

We’re going to lose at least one in Michigan. Fortunately we took the gold in the election.


5 posted on 12/17/2010 3:21:37 PM PST by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
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To: randita

I have a non-specific prediction: The results of the census will be GOOD for people like us, (and by people like us, I’m referring, of course, to conservatives.)

I forget who said it, but it rains true: If you’re only going to win one election every ten years, win one when the census is being done. We did.

Governors, start your gerrymandering!


6 posted on 12/17/2010 3:22:00 PM PST by ObamaMustGo2012 (Obama Must Go In 2012)
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To: randita
Care to make any predictions?

Legislatively? couldn't tell you.

But I will predict a raft of rapturous articles celebrating the continued erosion of the european-american majority.

Its become a ten year tradition.

7 posted on 12/17/2010 3:22:10 PM PST by skeeter
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To: randita
Census only reapportions the 435 seats and moves them from state to state. It's up to the state legislatures and governors to redraw districts.

(Captain Obvious alert)

8 posted on 12/17/2010 3:24:19 PM PST by paul in cape
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To: rednek

Yep, of course they lie, they are Commies. All Commies lie.

Of course they will fudge the numbers to their advantage, as far as they can.


9 posted on 12/17/2010 3:24:21 PM PST by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one.)
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To: randita

If PA loses two, I predict it will be PA-12 and PA-13.


10 posted on 12/17/2010 3:26:16 PM PST by dirtboy
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To: randita

New York, California, Ohio, Michigan, Illiois, and Florida lose. RAT-infested states all.
Tennessee, Texas and South Carolina gain.


11 posted on 12/17/2010 3:32:15 PM PST by SC_Pete
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To: randita

TX gains 4.


12 posted on 12/17/2010 3:32:53 PM PST by prairiebreeze (Proudly celebrating CHRISTMAS!)
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To: randita

Utah gains one, and yes, it will be GOP.


13 posted on 12/17/2010 3:34:05 PM PST by Andyman (The truth shall make you FReep.)
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To: randita
Word is MA will loose one.

Barney Frank has made some noise about this being his last term, MA4 could end up being reabsorbed back into the districts it was gerrymandered out of.

14 posted on 12/17/2010 3:40:31 PM PST by MAexile (Bats left, votes right)
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To: prairiebreeze

Agree that TX gains 4. If not we need to demand a re-census.


15 posted on 12/17/2010 3:41:46 PM PST by Gorest Gump
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To: randita

If (when) New Jersey loses a seat it will be 7th CD Leonard Lance (RINO) first elected in 2009.

Not much of a loss IMHO.

The other option is 111th Congressional District: NJ04
Representative: Christopher H. Smith (R), but in doing so one of the neighboring (D) Districts would move from a solid (D) back to a swing district.


16 posted on 12/17/2010 3:44:51 PM PST by JerseyHighlander (p.s. The word 'bloggers' is not in the freerepublic spellcheck dictionary?!)
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To: randita

Addition by subtraction is Massachusetts losing one.


17 posted on 12/17/2010 3:47:05 PM PST by AU72
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To: randita

Clyburn and most of the black caucus members should be safe—the districts will be drawn to maximize their chances of keeping their seats.


18 posted on 12/17/2010 3:51:34 PM PST by Verginius Rufus
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To: Verginius Rufus

Missouri is slated to lose one district. Lacy Clay will most likely keep his seat, but with a Republican legislature, Democrat Russ Carnahan may be redistricted out of his seat.


19 posted on 12/17/2010 3:59:00 PM PST by rwa265 (Christ my Cornerstone)
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To: randita

Gainers: TX +3, FL +2, UT +1, NV +1, GA +1 and AZ +1

Losers: NY -2, OH -2, PA -1, MI -1, IL -1, LA -1, IA -1


20 posted on 12/17/2010 4:01:24 PM PST by random_user_827 ((d) buy a new computer, this one's toast)
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