In particular, notice that, when viewed from the north the trajectory is to the RIGHT.
In this second graphic, I depict the trajectory of an inward (eastward) -bound object. As with the outbound case, when viewed from directly to the east, its trajectory appears to be purely vertical.
BUT, when viewed from the north its trajectory is to the LEFT.
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That illustrates perfectly why Gil Leyvas' video shows a plume veering to the right. It was an outbound missile.
The Leyvas video was taken to the south of the event. If you take about 30 seconds to analyze TXnMA's graphics, you will see that the picture you posted supports the fact that the track is inbound.
I deal with ALL of the data. You can't "cherry-pick" your way out of this one.