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To: gandalftb
The big problem for NK is where to buy the uranium ore

N. Korea has domestic uranium mine(s.) IIRC, somewhere in Pyongsan. I heard there are more than one, although Pyongsan is the biggest.

It is really premature to dismiss those centrifuges as elaborate decoys. Why people always err on the wrong side? Besides, how do we safely assume that N. Korea had not developed technology to produce uranium bomb? Until they set it off?

As for China, since when are they so dead-set against dealings between Iran and N. Korea? At one point, it is widely assumed that China won't stand for N. Korea doing a nuclear test. It was assumed to be red line, and N. Korea had to eventually give up its nukes. Look at how it turned out. China sat still and left N. Korea alone. From time to time, it plays game with grain and fuel supplies to N. Korea, but that is about it. Even if N. Korea is fully nuclear capable, China will still see it as an acceptable price to keep N. Korea under their orbit, short of N. Korea pointing its IRBM toward Beijing.

N. Korea, as it stands, is an economically broken country and is not supposed to have enough money to bankroll their rocket program. However, they insist on having it, and they do so far. There are certain things this N. Korean regime won't give up ever: Its hold on power and nuke/rocket technology. As long as the regime is alive, you can count on the prospect that they will continue to pursue it, no matter the difficulty of procuring necessary materials. N. Korea will have an uranium bomb, unless it collapses in next two years. Whatever technical difficulty they have, they can overcome it given reasonable amount of time, given that uranium design has less kinks to overcome than plutonium design, although uranium bomb is said to be too big to be mounted on a missile. That's OK. Get a working bomb first, whether it is uranium or plutonium design. That will give political leverage not available to them up to now. Then they can work for more challenging ones.

There are people who believe that there are only two options: either they capitulate to N. Korea or dismiss everything N. Korea says. I don't know why it is so, but they seem to be a majority among policy-making circle.

So Condi and Hill made all those stupid initiatives because they "knew" that everything about NK nuke program is a dud?

28 posted on 11/21/2010 7:47:18 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster (The way to crush the bourgeois is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Good points, we have made some pretty sorry bluffs and NK doesn't blink.

They have some ore:

Sunchon-Wolbingson mine

Kusong mine, N Pyongan Province

Pyongsan mine, N Hwanghae Province

Sunchon mine, S Pyongan

Unggi mine

Yongchun deposit

Songhak-ri, Hoiryeong

However, NK has offered Russia exclusive rights to its uranium ore in exchange for open support at the six-way talks to ease economic sanctions on NK. The plan is for Russia to import the uranium and enrich it before selling it on as nuclear fuel to China and Vietnam, for great profit.

Rumor has it the centrifuges in NK will only be used to get the impurities out and reduce the volume and send it on to Russia.

The background theme always seems to be NK trying to make a buck.

29 posted on 11/21/2010 9:13:49 PM PST by gandalftb (OK State, 10-1, Go Cowboys! Beat OK)
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