I would give two to one odds now that Obama will NOT be given a second term, regardless of what happens or who runs. If there is anyone with any brains left in the Democrat party he will not be given a chance to run again plus there will be numerous states insisting that he prove he is a natural born citizen which he cannot possibly do, his only hope would be a supreme court decision not based in constitutional law. I think he is a one termer...IF he manages to finish one term.
Who knows...?