We don’t do very well in recounts.
I predict that it will not be.
I doubt it. Patty Murray doesn’t have many supporters left.
First place to look is WV. If we don’t get that, it will be tough. Personally, I think we take WV. I am watching CT and DE (yes, seriously). If we get one of those, I bet we get 53 seats.
Is it my imagination or aren’t the polls generally more positive for Republicans this year than they were in 1994? I’m thinking that the anti-bias built in is about 3% and that this is just never factored in to any sober analysis. So, I’m figuring that just about every pundit is underpromising Pubbie gains.
Which, of course, is a very good thing.
anyone trading on intrade feel free to private message me, I am curious as to how your placing your bets, I have several thousand dollars riding on this election.
“whether Republicans have a shot of taking the Senate.”
Hope they don’t.
Bammy, the Whiner-in-Chief, needs a ready-made excuse, and a numerical-Republican-majority, RINO-dominated Senate, god forbid, will supply. A split Congress, that’s the ticket. A bare Republican majority in the Senate will be worse than worthless to conservatives; it will be dominated by the need to placate weather-vane, socially-liberal, big-spending RINO saboteurs, Collins, Snowe, and the like.
Katie will be wearing all black?
On his way to see the Wizard of Oz...
He is smoking some bad sh!t.. on the way..
Liberalism is indeed a mental disorder..
Somebody ought to give the dude some red shoes..
Hes drunk on the Kool Aid.. He needs to be SLAPPED awake..
IF Washington is close then count on us being stuck in recount Hell for a month.
After reviewing: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/politics/Washington-Examiner-election-guide-106399808.html I’d look at how early returns compare with these comments. If real Americans do better than expected, the Senate is in play (until the fraud starts). If the Dems keep power in unexpected locations, then we’re in for a good night but far less good. This election is national and early results should be interpreted as such.
6 p.m. ET
Indiana (Eastern)
* IN-9: Think of Rep. Baron Hill, D, as the canary in the coal mine. If he survives this challenge from Todd Young, then something is not happening that the GOP expected. Republicans might be facing an evening of disappointment.
Kentucky (Eastern)
* KY-6: Aside from the Senate race, this is the only game in Kentucky. Rep. Ben Chandler, D, has been dinged for voting for cap-and-trade, but he voted against Obamacare. His challenger, Andy Barr, has taken heat for being part of former Gov. Ernie Fletcher’s unpopular administration. A Republican takeover here – a slightly less-than-even proposition – is a good omen for the GOP.
7 p.m. ET
Florida (Eastern)
* FL-8: Rep. Alan Grayson, D, known for his abrasive personality, will find out just how effective it is to call his opponent, Dan Webster, a member of the Taliban.
* FL-24: Rep. Suzanne Kosmas, D, is a goner.
* FL-22: Rep. Ron Klein, D, trails in the latest polls. Should he win, Allen West would be one of at least two (and possibly three) black Republicans in the U.S. House.
* FL-25: Here’s a seat that Republicans are at risk of losing. Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart, R, probably could have won re-election, but he chose instead to move to the safer district of his brother, retiring Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart. This left a weaker GOP candidate, David Rivera, to face Democrat Joe Garcia, D. Rivera is only narrowly favored.
Georgia
* GA-GOV: The question is not whether former Rep. Nathan Deal, R, finishes first, but whether he can get more than 50 percent and avoid a runoff against former Gov. Roy Barnes, D. This race has big implications for redistricting.
* GA-8: After several unsuccessful tries, Republicans should finally defeat Rep. Jim Marshall, D, and soundly. Austin Scott is his young opponent.
* GA-2: It could take a while to decide the fate of Rep. Sanford Bishop, D, the most moderate member of the Congressional Black Caucus. He was caught up in the Black Caucus Scholarship nepotism scandal. The district is 46 percent black by population, but much more conservative than you might expect.
Indiana (Central Time)
* IN-SEN: Having spent most of the election denouncing the lobbying career of Republican Dan Coats, Rep. Brad Ellsworth, D, might as well start looking for a job on K Street himself. Easy GOP pickup.
* IN-2: A small chunk of this district is in the Central Time Zone, so don’t expect an early call. Rep. Joe Donnelly, D, should win. If he loses this seat to Republican Jackie Walorski, Democrats should brace themselves for a nationwide bloodbath.
* IN-8: Democrats abandoned this seat long ago. Republican heart surgeon Larry Bucshon should win the vacant “Bloody Eighth” going away, gain of one for the GOP.
Kentucky (Central)
* KY-SEN: Kentucky will likely elect America’s first Aqua-Buddhist senator, Rand Paul. The race was basically sealed up after Democratic Attorney General Jack Conway’s negative ads backfired.
South Carolina
* SC-GOV: Republican State Rep. Nikki Haley is the clear favorite.
* SC-SEN: Despite South Carolinians’ sense of humor, Sen. Jim DeMint, R, will easily defeat Democrat Alvin Greene.
* SC-5: House Budget Chairman John Spratt, D, will soon be spending a lot more time with his family.
Virginia
* VA-2: Rep. Glenn Nye, D, will likely fall to auto dealer Scott Rigell, R.
* VA-5: Rep. Tom Perriello, D, hopes that a late visit by President Obama will help. But Obma is very unpopular here, Perriello is a bad fit for the district, and Republican Robert Hurt leads.
* VA-9: Rep. Rick Boucher, D, voted for cap-and-trade, the last thing his coal-producing district wanted. His challenger, state House GOP leader Morgan Griffith, R, appears to be surging just in time to make this one very close.
* VA-11: Surprisingly, there have been no independent, public polls of this wealthy, moderate swing district in Northern Virginia, but the political pros apparently know something the rest of us don’t: The DCCC dumped $1 million into the district last week. Gov. Bob McDonnell, R, carried it handily one year ago, and Rep. Gerry Connolly, D, is now running such a strongly negative campaign as to suggest that he thinks he is losing. If Connolly falls to the conservative Keith Fimian, it’s a sign that this is going to be a very long night for Democrats, who are vulnerable in many upper-middle class suburban districts like this one. If it’s close, Connolly may be a victim of Jon Stewart, whose rally on the weekend before the election probably deprived him of volunteers at a critical time.
Vermont
* VT-GOV: Democrat Peter Shumlin has a slightly better-than even shot of picking up this open governorship governorship by defeating Lt. Gov. Brian Dubie, R.
Jon Manchin? He wasn’t on my ballot but there was a Joe. ;)
The Senate is NOT in play, so don’t worry about it. Besides that would be the worst thing to happen if we took it over.