I want what Nate Silver is smoking. But you’d have to live in California to get that stuff after today.
“I want what Nate Silver is smoking. But you’d have to live in California to get that stuff after today.”
I am not a pollster; but I do much work in statistics for a living. Silver is a careful statistician and highlights some of the problems of polling and statistics. Nothing he said in that article is weird or not a solidly supportable argument. And, he concedes up front he is going to look at the arguments that would suggest a better performance by rats than the polls suggest.
In other words, he’s not in stoner-land.