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So, How Much Sanity Was There in D.C. Yesterday?
Pajamas Media ^ | October 31, 2010 | Charlie Martin

Posted on 10/31/2010 3:35:19 AM PDT by Kaslin

Big name acts, extensive crowd control, rules against video or audio taping even with your cell phone, boring political speeches ... this wasn't a rally, this was a U2 concert! But how many people attended?

What if they held a political rally and a rock concert broke out?

The “Rally to Restore Sanity/Fear” in Washington, D.C., on Saturday looked like it was probably generally a lot of fun. The crowd looked cheerful, and I generally like Jon Stewart and sometimes like Stephen Colbert. The music was okay — I’m a big fan of Cat Stevens, and the guy with the beard (Yusuf something?) who sang “Peace Train” did a pretty credible cover version.

But Roger didn’t ask for a review; he wanted the now-traditional Pajamas Media crowd size estimate.

As always, this would be much easier if I could get a photo of the crowd from directly overhead, and as usual, I can’t find one. Apparently, for some reason, they no longer let aircraft fly over the Capitol and White House, so we have to settle for the usual photos from locations from the Washington Monument or the like.

The AP provides us several in a slideshow. Here’s a good one:

Of course, right away we notice something: large parts of the National Mall are blocked off to the crowds. If we’re going to make an estimate, we need to know how much. AP provides us with another shot with a little bit wider angle:

…and one more from behind the stage and toward the Washington Monument, so we can see that the crowd really does stop somewhere in the middle of the Mall. In these pictures, north is to the left, so we have the crowd coming a little west of the main entrance to the National Gallery of Art on the north:

On the other side of the Mall, the crowd seems to be roughly up to the end of the National Air and Space Museum:

… while on the east end, it appears the stage is set up somewhere a little west of 4th St NW.

So I constructed a generous rectangle as the perimeter of the crowd that includes a good bit of the buildings on the sides, but then doesn’t attempt to add in the lines of people along the dirt lanes across the Mall.

Here’s the polygon I constructed:

And once again using this excellent tool, I computed the are of the whole polygon as about 150,000 square meters. Before I screw myself up with unit changes, we’ll convert that and call it 1,620,000 square feet.

Which means we can, at last, estimate the size of the damned crowd. We’ll use exactly the same figures for crowd density we used for the One Nation rally and the Beck “Restore Honor” rally:

Estimate 10 square feet per person 5 square feet per person 2.5 square feet per person
Maximum: 162,000

324,000 648,000
90 percent 145,800 291,600 583,200
75 percent

121,500 243,000 486,000
50 percent 81,000 162,000 324,000
Based on CBS news estimate 58,725 58,725 58,725
40 percent 64,800 129,600

259,200

The row labeled “based on CBS News estimate,” by the way, is using the CBS figure of 87,000 for the Beck 8/28 rally to derive a number for square feet per person, and applying that to the Stewart/Colbert rally.

It’s worth looking back at our table from the 8/28 rally for comparison.

Estimate

10 square feet per person 5 square feet per person 2.5 square feet per person
Maximum: 215,000 people 430,000 860,000
90 percent 200,000 400,000 800,000
75 percent 163,000 326,000

652,000
50 percent 108,000 216,000 432,000
CBS News Estimate 87,000

87,000 87,000
40 percent 86,000 172,000 344,000

Of course, we could have shortened this considerably: the Beck rally covered about 2.4 million square feet, while the Stewart/Colbert rally only about 1.6 million square feet. In other words, we know from that alone that the Stewart/Colbert rally was about six-tenths as big as the Beck rally.

Back when I was an undergraduate at the University of Colorado, the common rumor was that Colorado had been left out of Playboy magazine’s rankings of the top party schools because “it was unfair for professionals to be included in competition with amateurs.” (It wasn’t true, and I presume lots of other schools had the same rumor; spare me from everyone’s story of how it was really their school.)

But in much the same way, it seems a bit unfair to compare either the 9/12 rally or Beck’s 8/28 rally with this one. The 9/12 2009 rally was more or less ad hoc; Beck’s rally was more organized, but still basically a rally.

But look at the Comedy Central “Sanity/Fear” rally. As PJTV’s Richard Pollock found out, it was very carefully organized, with limited press access — or at least attempts to limit press access — and with the announcement that video and photography was prohibited except for Comedy Central.

(On the National Mall? Good luck with that, bunky.)

There was a big proscenium stage, with a lovely setup framing the Capitol — as a sometimes theater guy, I really admired it, it was gorgeous — and a large controlled area behind the stage for performers and technical people. Professional sound set ups, with big name acts flying in for a few numbers.

Big name acts, extensive crowd control, rules against video or audio taping even with your cell phone, boring political speeches … this wasn’t a rally, this was a U2 concert!

And that tells us the real story: they held a rock/comedy concert, with pro acts including two of the hottest TV comedians around, and professional production, with free admission and with Arianna Huffington paying for bus rides — and no matter what you think a “dense” crowd is, it was still only about six-tenths of Beck’s open-air church service.

But the bearded guy really wasn’t a bad imitation of Cat Stevens. Not like the real thing, of course. I wonder if he’s thought of going pro?


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Front Page News
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1 posted on 10/31/2010 3:35:23 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

IMHO; not much. Anyone that would throw away freedom while destroying their own country is insane.


2 posted on 10/31/2010 3:47:06 AM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: Kaslin

Arianna Huffington strikes me as too selfish to pay for rides. Most likely Soros did the paying.


3 posted on 10/31/2010 3:48:50 AM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: freekitty

You said it


4 posted on 10/31/2010 3:50:28 AM PDT by Kaslin (Acronym for OBAMA: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: Kaslin
I’m a big fan of Cat Stevens, and the guy with the beard (Yusuf something?) who sang “Peace Train” did a pretty credible cover version.

Cat Stevens *is* Yusuf Islam. He's a big mover in the stealth jihad, he has been on terrorist watchlists to the point of not being let into the US. He also owns the foundation (the waqf) running the madrassas in Britain, as well as a number of other companies funneling money into the islamist cause.

5 posted on 10/31/2010 3:54:24 AM PDT by Hardraade (I want gigaton warheads now!!)
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To: Kaslin

More like “Rally for their own Vanity”


6 posted on 10/31/2010 3:58:33 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: Kaslin

Well, it looks like they had a crowd that was smaller than the one we had on 9/12 over a year ago in that area. Except our crowd was larger by the amount of space up above which was cordoned off here. How many did the libtard media say we had at that one, 20,000 IIRC? SO this crowd must be smaller than 20,000. Q.E.D. By their own reckoning.


7 posted on 10/31/2010 4:02:05 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Kaslin
Unlike the 9/12 Tea Party or the Beck Rally, how many of these people were bused in by the unions, Viacom, and Adrianna Huffington? They have stated that they got 10s of thousands to come with a free bus ride whereas the 9/12 Tea Party and Beck Rally people paid their own way. Enough said.

BTW-I think it's a mistake to compare this to the Beck rally. Instead it should be compared to the 9/12 rally because it was in a similar location (the Capitol). One can see the difference with the way the blocks are broken up. Remember the media was saying there were only 60,000 at the 9/12 rally.


8 posted on 10/31/2010 4:05:39 AM PDT by HarleyD
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To: wastoute

What I would like to know is what condition did they leave the grounds around the rally? Bet it wasn’t like it was when they arrived.


9 posted on 10/31/2010 4:05:39 AM PDT by animal172 (Where are you America?)
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To: wastoute

I wonder how heavy the smell of pot was during this event


10 posted on 10/31/2010 4:07:11 AM PDT by shadeaud ("If you can't beat them, arrange to have them beaten." -- George Carlin B)
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To: Hardraade

That was sarcasm, I say, sarcasm, son.


11 posted on 10/31/2010 4:07:27 AM PDT by don-o ("At this point, Islam is just surging into a vacuum" - Mrs Don-o)
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To: Kaslin

“this wasn’t a rally, this was a U2 concert!”


LOL...I wonder if, everytime Jon Stewart clapped his hands, a kid died in Africa?


12 posted on 10/31/2010 4:07:56 AM PDT by UCFRoadWarrior (They don't let you build churches in Mecca)
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To: Kaslin
So, How Much Sanity Was There in D.C. Yesterday?

13 posted on 10/31/2010 4:14:21 AM PDT by philman_36 (Pride breakfasted with plenty, dined with poverty, and supped with infamy. Benjamin Franklin)
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To: HarleyD

Your posted photo is not from the 9/12/09 rally. I was there and stood on the west side of the pool near the Capitol for the event. Trust me, the only video screen for the rally was up by the stage. There weren’t any others.


14 posted on 10/31/2010 4:20:39 AM PDT by Typelouder
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To: philman_36

It was a rally for vanity not sanity.

These idiots are neither influential nor funny.

‘I make witty comments to heavily edited news footage, I’m a frickin legend’

I would sooner watch paint dry than that horse sh*t. They have obviously begun to believe their own hype.


15 posted on 10/31/2010 4:21:42 AM PDT by UKrepublican
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To: UKrepublican
They have obviously begun to believe their own hype.

Therein lies their weakness.

16 posted on 10/31/2010 4:31:45 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Kaslin

No escaping the truth: Glenn Beck has a bigger one than Jon Stewart.


17 posted on 10/31/2010 4:45:11 AM PDT by qwertypie
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To: Hardraade

The type font in the original was Irony Intended.

FWIW, Yusef Islam openly supported the fatwa against Soloman Rushdie and said he wished he could do the deed himself.


18 posted on 10/31/2010 4:45:56 AM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (If not Boston, then Texas. Go Rangers!)
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To: Kaslin

I thought total insanity has reigned in DC for decades.

maybe with some slight to moderate burps otherwise during the reign of some mostly decent guys . . .


19 posted on 10/31/2010 4:52:34 AM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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To: Typelouder
Hmmmm....you may be right that this photo is not from the 9/12 rally. It appears Google has mix the pictures. I'm trying to find the "fly-over" picture but most sites that I have gone to have either the standard pictures of the side streets or don't have a clear shot during the peek time.

All that being said, I too was down in DC for the 9/12 rally as well; standing on the Capitol lawn. I'm sure you would agree the rally did stretch far down the mall and on the side streets; much farther back than this.

March On Washington Pictures

20 posted on 10/31/2010 4:53:07 AM PDT by HarleyD
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