Replies

Just for completeness, here is our ranked list of the 110 seats in play:

Rank	District		Democrat	Seat	Republican	Avg.	Experts	District
1	LA	3	Ravi Sangisetty	Open D	Jeff Landry	2.3	Likely R	LA	3
2	NY	29	Mathew Zeller	Open D	Tom Reed	2.3	Likely R	NY	29
3	TN	6	Brett Carter	Open D	Diane Black	2.3	Likely R	TN	6
4	AR	2	Joyce Elliott	Open D	Tim Griffin	2.2	Likely R	AR	2
5	KS	3	Stephene Moore	Open D	Kevin Yoder	2.2	Likely R	KS	3
6	TN	8	Roy Herron	Open D	Stephen Fincher	2.2	Likely R	TN	8
7	IL	11	Debbie Halvorson	Incumbent D	Adam Kinzinger	1.8	Likely R	IL	11
8	IN	8	W. Trent Van Haaften	Open D	Dr. Larry Bucshon	1.8	Likely R	IN	8
9	TX	17	Chet Edwards	Incumbent D	Bill Flores	1.8	Likely R	TX	17
10	OH	15	Mary Jo Kilroy	Incumbent D	Steve Stivers	1.7	Likely R	OH	15
11	CO	4	Betsy Markey	Incumbent D	Cory Gardner	1.5	Leans R	CO	4
12	FL	2	Allen Boyd	Incumbent D	Steve Southerland	1.5	Leans R	FL	2
13	FL	24	Suzanne Kosmas	Incumbent D	Sandy Adams	1.5	Leans R	FL	24
14	PA	3	Kathleen Dahlkemper	Incumbent D	Mike Kelly	1.5	Leans R	PA	3
15	WA	8	Suzan DelBene	Incumbent R	Dave Reichert	1.5	Leans R	WA	8
16	FL	8	Alan Grayson	Incumbent D	Daniel Webster	1.3	Leans R	FL	8
17	NH	1	Carol Shea-Porter	Incumbent D	Frank Guinta	1.3	Leans R	NH	1
18	AZ	1	Ann Kirkpatrick	Incumbent D	Paul Gosar	1.2	Leans R	AZ	1
19	CA	3	Ami Bera	Incumbent R	Dan Lungren	1.2	Leans R	CA	3
20	FL	25	Joe Garcia	Open R	David Rivera	1.2	Leans R	FL	25
21	OH	1	Steve Driehaus	Incumbent D	Steve Chabot	1.2	Leans R	OH	1
22	WI	8	Steve Kagen	Incumbent D	Reid Ribble	1.2	Leans R	WI	8
23	GA	8	Jim Marshall	Incumbent D	Austin Scott	1.0	Leans R	GA	8
24	MD	1	Frank Kratovil	Incumbent D	Andy Harris	1.0	Leans R	MD	1
25	MI	1	Gary McDowell	Open D	Dr. Daniel Benishek	1.0	Leans R	MI	1
26	NM	2	Harry Teague	Incumbent D	Steve Pearce	0.8	Leans R	NM	2
27	SC	5	John Spratt Jr.	Incumbent D	Mick Mulvaney	0.8	Leans R	SC	5
28	VA	2	Glenn Nye	Incumbent D	Scott Rigell	0.8	Leans R	VA	2
29	VA	5	Tom Perriello	Incumbent D	Robert Hurt	0.8	Leans R	VA	5
30	WA	3	Denny Heck	Open D	Jaime Herrera	0.8	Leans R	WA	3
31	AR	1	Chad Causey	Open D	Rick Crawford	0.7	Leans R	AR	1
32	NV	3	Dina Titus	Incumbent D	Dr. Joe Heck	0.7	Leans R	NV	3
33	OH	16	John Boccieri	Incumbent D	Jim Renacci	0.7	Leans R	OH	16
34	WI	7	Julie Lassa	Open D	Sean Duffy	0.7	Leans R	WI	7
35	AZ	5	Harold Mitchell	Incumbent D	David Schweikert	0.5	Toss-Up	AZ	5
36	CA	11	Jerry McNerney	Incumbent D	David Harmer	0.5	Toss-Up	CA	11
37	CO	3	John Salazar	Incumbent D	Scott Tipton	0.5	Toss-Up	CO	3
38	IL	14	Bill Foster	Incumbent D	Randy Hultgren	0.5	Toss-Up	IL	14
39	IN	9	Baron Hill	Incumbent D	Todd Young	0.5	Toss-Up	IN	9
40	MS	1	Travis Childers	Incumbent D	Alan Nunnelee	0.5	Toss-Up	MS	1
41	ND	AL	Earl Pomeroy	Incumbent D	Rick Berg	0.5	Toss-Up	ND	AL
42	NY	19	John Hall	Incumbent D	Nan Hayworth	0.5	Toss-Up	NY	19
43	NY	20	Scott Murphy	Incumbent D	Chris Gibson	0.5	Toss-Up	NY	20
44	NY	23	Bill Owens	Incumbent D	Matt Doheny	0.5	Toss-Up	NY	23
45	PA	7	Bryan Lentz	Open D	Pat Meehan	0.5	Toss-Up	PA	7
46	PA	8	Patrick Murphy	Incumbent D	Mike Fitzpatrick	0.5	Toss-Up	PA	8
47	PA	10	Chris Carney	Incumbent D	Tom Marino	0.5	Toss-Up	PA	10
48	PA	11	Paul Kanjorski	Incumbent D	Lou Barletta	0.5	Toss-Up	PA	11
49	SD	AL	Stephanie Sandlin	Incumbent D	Kristi Noem	0.5	Toss-Up	SD	AL
50	HI	1	Colleen Hanabusa	Incumbent R	Charles Djou	0.3	Toss-Up	HI	1
51	FL	22	Ron Klein	Incumbent D	Allen West	0.3	Toss-Up	FL	22
52	IL	17	Phil Hare	Incumbent D	Bobby Schilling	0.3	Toss-Up	IL	17
53	MI	7	Mark Schauer	Incumbent D	Tim Walberg	0.3	Toss-Up	MI	7
54	NC	8	Larry Kissell	Incumbent D	Harold Johnson	0.3	Toss-Up	NC	8
55	NJ	3	John Adler	Incumbent D	Jon Runyan	0.3	Toss-Up	NJ	3
56	OH	18	Zach Space	Incumbent D	Bob Gibbs	0.3	Toss-Up	OH	18
57	TN	4	Lincoln Davis	Incumbent D	Dr. Scott Desjarlais	0.3	Toss-Up	TN	4
58	TX	23	Ciro Rodriguez	Incumbent D	Quico Canseco	0.3	Toss-Up	TX	23
59	WV	1	Mike Oliverio	Open D	David B. McKinley	0.3	Toss-Up	WV	1
60	GA	2	Sanford Bishop	Incumbent D	Mike Keown	0.2	Toss-Up	GA	2
61	NH	2	Annie Kuster	Open D	Charlie Bass	0.2	Toss-Up	NH	2
62	AZ	8	Gabrielle Giffords	Incumbent D	Jesse Kelly	0.0	Toss-Up	AZ	8
63	MA	10	William Keating	Open D	Jeff Perry	0.0	Toss-Up	MA	10
64	MO	4	Ike Skelton	Incumbent D	Vicky Hartzler	0.0	Toss-Up	MO	4
65	OR	5	Kurt Schrader	Incumbent D	Scott Bruun	0.0	Toss-Up	OR	5
66	CA	20	Jim Costa	Incumbent D	Andy Vidak	-0.2	Toss-Up	CA	20
67	ID	1	Walter Minnick	Incumbent D	Raul Labrador	-0.2	Toss-Up	ID	1
68	IL	10	Dan Seals	Open R	Bob Dold	-0.3	Toss-Up	IL	10
69	NY	24	Mike Arcuri	Incumbent D	Richard Hanna	-0.3	Toss-Up	NY	24
70	AL	2	Bobby Bright	Incumbent D	Martha Roby	-0.5	Toss-Up	AL	2
71	MS	4	Gene Taylor	Incumbent D	Steven Palazzo	-0.5	Toss-Up	MS	4
72	NY	1	Tim Bishop	Incumbent D	Randy Altschuler	-0.5	Toss-Up	NY	1
73	OH	6	Charlie Wilson	Incumbent D	Bill Johnson	-0.5	Toss-Up	OH	6
74	PA	12	Mark Critz	Incumbent D	Timothy Burns	-0.7	Leans D	PA	12
75	IN	2	Joe Donnelly	Incumbent D	Jackie Walorski	-0.7	Leans D	IN	2
76	KY	6	Ben Chandler	Incumbent D	Andy Barr	-0.7	Leans D	KY	6
77	NM	1	Martin Heinrich	Incumbent D	Jon Barela	-0.7	Leans D	NM	1
78	VA	9	Rick Boucher	Incumbent D	Morgan Griffith	-0.7	Leans D	VA	9
79	VA	11	Gerald Connolly	Incumbent D	Keith Fimian	-0.7	Leans D	VA	11
80	WA	2	Rick Larsen	Incumbent D	John Koster	-0.7	Leans D	WA	2
81	AZ	7	Raúl Grijalva	Incumbent D	Ruth McClung	-0.8	Leans D	AZ	7
82	CT	4	Jim Himes	Incumbent D	Dan Debicella	-1.0	Leans D	CT	4
83	MI	9	Gary Peters	Incumbent D	"Rocky" Raczowski	-1.0	Leans D	MI	9
84	NC	2	Bob Etheridge	Incumbent D	Renee Ellmers	-1.0	Leans D	NC	2
85	CA	47	Loretta Sanchez	Incumbent D	Van Tran	-1.2	Leans D	CA	47
86	CT	5	Christopher Murphy	Incumbent D	Sam Caligiuri	-1.2	Leans D	CT	5
87	IA	3	Leonard Boswell	Incumbent D	Brad Zaun	-1.2	Leans D	IA	3
88	NY	13	Mike McMahon	Incumbent D	Mike Grimm	-1.2	Leans D	NY	13
89	RI	1	David Cicilline	Open D	John Loughlin	-1.2	Leans D	RI	1
90	LA	2	Cedric Richmond	Incumbent R	Joseph Cao	-1.3	Leans D	LA	2
91	MN	1	Tim Walz	Incumbent D	Randy Demmer	-1.3	Leans D	MN	1
92	NC	7	Mike McIntyre	Incumbent D	Ilario Pantano	-1.3	Leans D	NC	7
93	NY	25	Dan Maffei	Incumbent D	Ann Marie Buerkle	-1.3	Leans D	NY	25
94	WI	3	Ron Kind	Incumbent D	Dan Kapanke	-1.3	Leans D	WI	3
95	DE	AL	John Carney	Open R	Glen Urquhart	-1.5	Leans D	DE	AL
96	NC	11	Heath Shuler	Incumbent D	Jeff Miller	-1.5	Leans D	NC	4
97	CO	7	Ed Perlmutter	Incumbent D	Ryan Frazier	-1.7	Likely D	CO	7
98	IA	2	Dave Loebsack	Incumbent D	Marianneette Miller Meeks	-1.7	Likely D	IA	2
99	PA	4	Jason Altmire	Incumbent D	Keith Rothfus	-1.7	Likely D	PA	4
100	IA	1	Bruce Braley	Incumbent D	Ben Lange	-1.8	Likely D	IA	1
101	MN	8	Jim Oberstar	Incumbent D	Chip Cravaack	-1.8	Likely D	MN	8
102	MO	3	Russ Carnahan	Incumbent D	Ed Martin	-1.8	Likely D	MO	3
103	OH	13	Betty Sutton	Incumbent D	Tom Ganley	-1.8	Likely D	OH	13
104	MA	4	Barney Frank	Incumbent D	Sean Bielat	-2.0	Likely D	MA	4
105	ME	1	Chellie Pingree	Incumbent D	Dean Scontras	-2.0	Likely D	ME	1
106	NY	22	Maurice Hinchey	Incumbent D	George Phillips	-2.0	Likely D	NY	22
107	TX	27	Solomon Ortiz	Incumbent D	R. Blake Farenthold	-2.0	Likely D	TX	27
108	WV	3	Nick Rahall	Incumbent D	"Spike" Maynard	-2.0	Likely D	WV	3
109	PA	17	Tim Holden	Incumbent D	David Argall	-2.2	Likely D	PA	17
110	IL	8	Melissa Bean	Incumbent D	Joe Walsh	-2.3	Likely D	IL	8