[leilani]

Hurricanes generally don’t hit Texas this time of year, the prevailing winds tend to push them off to the Northeast. Western Florida and the FL Panhandle need to be watching this one.

That's what all the models seem to say also, thank heavens for us. Not so good for the western FL peninsula though.

[numberonepal]

That GFDL model is no good.

[dirtboy]

The model runs keep shifting southward, two of them put Richard into the Bay of Campeche. Here's another October 'R' storm that crossed the Yucatan and went into the Bay of Campeche:

Hurricane Roxanne