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Not to piss in the punchbowl, but telephone polls are going to skew conservative, because of the mobile phones that are the only phones so many younger and lefter boneheads have as literally their only phone -- no landline.

"Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones (for respondents with a landline telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell phone-only). Each sample includes a minimum quota of 150 cell phone-only respondents and 850 landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas among landline respondents for gender within region. Landline respondents are chosen at random within each household on the basis of which member had the most recent birthday.

"Samples are weighted by gender, age, race, education, region, and phone lines. Demographic weighting targets are based on the March 2009 Current Population Survey figures for the aged 18 and older non-institutionalized population living in continental U.S. telephone households. All reported margins of sampling error include the computed design effects for weighting and sample design."

The 18 - 29 years old cohort are only supposed to 8% of likely voter turnout in the low turnout model.