History shows that if an INCUMBENT can’t break the 50% level he loses!!!
Often true but not always. What was Clinton’s percentage in ‘96, something like 49%? It depends on the race, and how much of the vote the minor party candidates siphon off. In this particular race, I’d feel pretty good if Angle were around 51% in actual vote. That’s probably too much for the ‘Rats to fraud their way into a “win” for Reid.