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To: RachelFaith

Higher turnout (20 percent or more) favors Castle, particularly in New Castle County. .


91 posted on 09/14/2010 5:21:47 PM PDT by mwl8787
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To: mwl8787

Higher turnout (20 percent or more) favors Castle, particularly in New Castle County.

It is hard to say a higher turnout favors Castle.

You could have a lot of Tea Party folks who have not been active. And start today at the polls, as well.


97 posted on 09/14/2010 5:24:24 PM PDT by tennmountainman
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To: mwl8787
Higher turnout (20 percent or more) favors Castle, particularly in New Castle County. .

Yeah... regions will do that, but turnout is usually a universal thing and usually brings MORE undecided and favors the challenger most times. It did for Joe in Alaska.

99 posted on 09/14/2010 5:25:50 PM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Welcome to "The Hunt for Red November".)
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To: mwl8787

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2010/09/14/what_to_watch_for_in_the_delaware_gop_senate_primary.html

“O’Donnell’s strength lies in Kent and Sussex Counties, the two southernmost. She should be able to establish strong margins in both. She probably needs [to win] 70:30 in Sussex, 55:45 in Kent and lose by 45:55 in New Castle (the northernmost county). Turnout is likely to be variable, [with the] highest turnout in the areas where she’s strongest, and that will boost her.

RCP: What kind of turnout are you expecting, and how might high or low turnout affect the results?

Dr. Pika: Expectations are for 15-25 percent turnout of Republicans. Higher turnout should help Castle since O’Donnell’s voters seem to be more strongly motivated.”


105 posted on 09/14/2010 5:27:29 PM PDT by mrsmith
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