Higher turnout (20 percent or more) favors Castle, particularly in New Castle County. .
Higher turnout (20 percent or more) favors Castle, particularly in New Castle County.
It is hard to say a higher turnout favors Castle.
You could have a lot of Tea Party folks who have not been active. And start today at the polls, as well.
Yeah... regions will do that, but turnout is usually a universal thing and usually brings MORE undecided and favors the challenger most times. It did for Joe in Alaska.
ODonnells strength lies in Kent and Sussex Counties, the two southernmost. She should be able to establish strong margins in both. She probably needs [to win] 70:30 in Sussex, 55:45 in Kent and lose by 45:55 in New Castle (the northernmost county). Turnout is likely to be variable, [with the] highest turnout in the areas where shes strongest, and that will boost her.
RCP: What kind of turnout are you expecting, and how might high or low turnout affect the results?
Dr. Pika: Expectations are for 15-25 percent turnout of Republicans. Higher turnout should help Castle since ODonnells voters seem to be more strongly motivated.